MLB Home Run Predictions: 5 Players Most Likely to Hit a Homer Today - June 19, 2026
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Home Run Predictions: 5 Players Most Likely to Hit a Homer Today
Alvarez leads at Daikin Park · Devers at T-Mobile Park · Henderson at Dodger Stadium · Witt Jr. home vs STL · Judge, Ohtani & Schwarber all OUT today.
Three of the board's biggest names are off today: Aaron Judge (rib stress fracture, out until August), Shohei Ohtani (left knee, DNP), and Kyle Schwarber — the Phillies played their NYM series opener Thursday June 18 and have no game on Friday. All five picks below are confirmed active in tonight's actual games: Yordan Alvarez at Daikin Park, Rafael Devers at T-Mobile Park, Gunnar Henderson at Dodger Stadium, Bobby Witt Jr. at Kauffman Stadium, and Paul Goldschmidt at Yankee Stadium.
All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Confirm lineup before wagering. Must be 21+. Gamble responsibly.
Alvarez is the unambiguous top pick on Friday's entire board. Seven HR in his last 13 games with a .476 average over the past week — the hottest stretch by any hitter in baseball right now. With Judge on the IL, he has risen to AL MVP favourite at +150. At home at Daikin Park against a right-handed Cleveland starter, 14 of his 22 HR this season have come against righties. ~+350 for the hottest power bat in the AL is Friday's single best HR prop.
Devers is the direct replacement for Schwarber — a left-handed power hitter confirmed active in tonight's BOS@SEA game at T-Mobile Park. FanDuel Research recently featured him as one of their top three HR picks alongside Alvarez and Henderson. His 17 total bases in the last 10 games confirms excellent current form. At ~+400 for a genuine 17+ HR hitter in strong form, Devers is the best value HR bet on Friday's late slate.
Henderson has stepped forward as the AL's premier power bat with Judge out, having the MVP-caliber bounce-back season CBS Sports predicted with 16+ HR. FanDuel Research has named him as one of their top HR picks. Dodger Stadium's warm Friday evening conditions and hitter-friendly dimensions make the late 10:10 PM PT game an ideal power environment for his left-handed stroke.
Bobby Witt Jr. is one of the safest HR bets any night he plays — 99th-percentile xBA with the bat speed to elevate consistently. Now in the AL MVP conversation at +155 with Judge on the IL, Witt is operating at peak value. Home at Kauffman Stadium against the Cardinals tonight, confirmed active, no injury concerns. The most reliable contact-and-power combination on Friday's full slate.
With Judge on the IL, Goldschmidt is the top Yankee power bat tonight. He bats third with a .287 average and 10 HR, facing Reds starter Rhett Lowder — a young arm making a road start at Yankee Stadium, one of the AL's most power-friendly venues. The 8th-lowest average fence height in MLB and the short left-field porch are natural targets for his right-handed stroke. ~+420 is Friday's value play.
Aaron Judge (NYY) — REMOVED. Stress fracture of first rib, IL since June 5. Expected return possibly August.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — REMOVED. Left knee inflammation, did not play Friday. Dodgers active tonight vs BAL — Henderson and Freeman are the targets.
📊 Friday's HR Board — All Confirmed Active
*Odds approximate from FanDuel Sportsbook. Confirm lineup before wagering. Must be 21+.
All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook · Subject to change · Confirm lineup before wagering · Must be 21+ · Play responsibly
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
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