A common argument used against the "Kyler Murray for Heisman" crowd is that Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has yet to play in more than a handful of fourth quarters this season.
But when you eliminate the fourth-quarter statistics of both quarterbacks this season for a more evenly-comparative analysis, the stats tell a much different story -- in Murray's favor.
On the surface, that counterpoint would end the debate in Tua's favor. However,
Bama fans: "But Tua doesn't play the 4th quarter"— Sooners 24/7 (@Sooners247) November 15, 2018
Throw out all Kyler's 4th quarter stats and he is still better
214.7 efficiency rating
223.3 efficiency rating https://t.co/ir4u1Ii2Zb
Now that's something that catches your attention, don't you think?
Murray's adjusted production puts an
#NCAAF Week 12 #Heisman Odds via @FDSportsbook— The Duel (@TheDuelSports) November 12, 2018
Tua Tagovailoa -390
Will Grier +750
Kyler Murray +750
Shea Patterson +2200
Travis Etienne +2900
Trevor Lawrence +2900
Dwayne Haskins +10000
Gardner Minshew +10000
McKenzie Milton +10000
Ed Oliver +25000
Barring an Alabama loss or absolute dud performance from Tua, Murray's chances of catching his competition don't look great with only a few short weeks left in the season.
If only football games ended after 45 minutes instead of 60, then maybe Murray would have had a fighting chance at winning the Heisman this year.
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Mike Esposito is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Esposito also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username espo6891. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.