The Duel

Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Football Value Could be Strong in 2020 if the Dolphins Name Him Their Starter

Jason Schandl
Tua Tagovailoa's fantasy football outlook is strong after being drafted by the ...
Tua Tagovailoa's fantasy football outlook is strong after being drafted by the ... / Michael Hickey/Getty Images
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With the No. 5 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Miami Dolphins have drafted Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Taking Tua that high is, of course, a sign that Miami expects Tua to take over as the franchise quarterback. While Ryan Fitzpatrick is still on the roster and there has been some talk of Tua sitting out his rookie year to get healthy, there have been nothing but positive reports about Tagovailoa's health. He has a good shot of taking the reins as the QB1 before the season even starts. That would give him some very interesting value in fantasy football.

Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Outlook

Tua didn't get in a full season in 2019, but his last two years at Alabama were some of the most productive seasons we've seen from a college quarterback. He averaged 12.8 adjusted yards per pass attempt (AY/A) in 2018 and 13.4 in 2019. For context on how impressive those marks are, the 2018 average is the third-best single-season mark in NCAA history, while the 2019 mark would be No. 1 if he had played enough games to qualify.

Tua isn't just a stellar passer, either, he has plus rushing ability, having tallied 340 yards and 9 touchdowns with his legs in Alabama. For a rookie-year fantasy football projection, that rushing upside gives him a really nice boost.

The Dolphins' offense isn't flush with talent, but Mike Gesicki, Preston Williams and Devante Parker all showed some serious promise in 2019, and that young trio gives Tua some interesting weapons.

A lot hinges on whether Miami does give Tua the opportunity to be the starter this season, of course. Even if he doesn't start the season as the QB1, he will immediately become a hot waiver wire commodity during the season if he does end up taking over for Fitzpatrick in 2020.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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