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3 Reasons the Jaguars Will Upset the Commanders in Week 1

Devon Platana
Three reasons why the Jacksonville Jaguars will blow out the Washington Commanders in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season.
Three reasons why the Jacksonville Jaguars will blow out the Washington Commanders in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season. / AP Photos/Gary McCullough

Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season is here. As usual, most of the action takes place on Sunday, including an inter-conference gathering between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Washington Commanders. FanDuel Sportsbook has the Commanders listed as slight 2.5-point favorites with -122 odds to cover the spread.

It's easy to underestimate the Jaguars due to recent history, but they could catch a lot of people off guard this season. Doug Pederson's presence behind the bench should have a positive impact and with the Commanders having their fair share of weaknesses, a Jacksonville blowout isn't out of the question.

Here are three reasons why the Jaguars will blow out the Commanders in Week 1.

Jaguars vs Commanders Week 1

1. Doug Pederson

Unlike Urban Meyer, head coach Pederson actually seems interested in winning NFL games. That alone makes the Jaguars better than where they were last year. The team should be a more well-rounded unit under his supervision considering how he had the Philadelphia Eagles ranked top 12 in point differential in four of his five seasons behind the bench. With the 2022 NFL Draft and free agency bringing in an influx of talent on both sides of the ball, Pederson has the tools he needs to do serious damage against a Washington team that finished bottom 10 in both offensive and defensive scoring last year.

2. Carson Wentz Isn't Reliable

After a forgettable year in Indianapolis, Carson Wentz is now the Commanders' starting quarterback. Though he's an upgrade over Taylor Heinicke, Wentz is far from a reliable producer. For starters, he averaged a career-worst 209.6 passing yards last year, finishing with fewer than 200 yards in eight of his 17 starts. While he was nearly the NFL MVP a few years ago, Wentz has proven that he's no longer that guy. Even if Trevor Lawrence still has a lot to prove after his rookie year, he hasn't come close to reaching his potential while Wentz's window is likely closed. Throw in the fact that Pederson once coached the veteran QB and knows his weaknesses, it could be a tough day for Wentz.

3. Commanders' Inability to Win at Home

Home-field advantage is what most NFL teams crave. Unfortunately, the Commanders haven't had much recent success at FedEx Field, going 3-8 in their last 11 home games. If that wasn't bad enough, Washington also gave up 24.3 PPG at home in 2021, ranking 10th-worst in the league. Though the defense is capable of being better than it was last year, that still has to be proven on the field. Considering that Jack Del Rio is the defensive coordinator for the third straight year, there's a good chance that the Commanders' D won't be that much better, opening the door for a potential Jaguars blowout win.

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.