Michigan State vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 30 (Spartans' Defense Struggled on the Road)

Larry Rupp
Michigan State vs Notre Dame prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Michigan State vs Notre Dame prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Darron Cummings
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Michigan State vs Notre Dame Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
No. 20 Michigan State Spartans (5-2, 0-0 Away) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-1, 5-0 Home)
Date: Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2022
Time: 9:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Purcell Pavilion — South Bend, IN
Coverage: ESPN2

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Wednesday with a thrilling matchup between the No. 20 Michigan State Spartans and Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Spartans mounted a second-half comeback to beat Portland, 78-77, on Sunday. Five different MSU players scored in double digits.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame suffered its first loss of the season when it fell to St. Bonaventure by a score of 63-51 on Friday. The Fighting Irish shot just 34.5% from the floor and 11.8% from three-point range. Freshman Ven-Allen Lubin paced the offense with 10 points and 13 rebounds off the bench.

Michigan State vs Notre Dame Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: MSU: (-122) | ND: (+102)
Spread: MSU: -1.5 (-115) | ND: +1.5 (-105)
Total: 139.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Michigan State enters this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:15 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 139.5 points, which is below average compared to Wednesday's projected totals.

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Michigan State vs Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

There's no denying that Michigan State heads into this game battle-tested. It has played four ranked teams so far, posting two wins by an average of 5.5 points and two losses by an average of 6.0 points. The Spartans check in at 96th in offensive efficiency and 183rd in defensive efficiency, though.

Without the Spartans dominating on either end of the court, the Fighting Irish have a fair chance to pull off a small upset on Wednesday. After all, Notre Dame is shooting a stellar 51.9% at home this season and logging just 11.0 personal fouls per game (No. 1 in NCAA). That's a recipe for success.

Final Score Prediction: Michigan State: 71 | Notre Dame: 74

Michigan State vs Notre Dame Betting Trends

- Michigan State is 10-0 straight up in its last 10 games on a Wednesday.
- The total has hit the over in each of Michigan State's last five games.
- Notre Dame is 0-5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
- The total has hit the over in each of Notre Dame's last five games on a Wednesday.

Michigan State vs Notre Dame Best Bet

This is Notre Dame's first big test of the season, so it's understandable if bettors are afraid to trust the Fighting Irish against a ranked opponent. Shifting gears to the point total is the best move here. A point total set at 139.5 seems low as the over has cashed in each of Michigan State's last five games.

The total has also hit the over in 12 of the Spartan's last 18 games against an ACC opponent. They are giving up 70.7 points per game (T-No. 187 in NCAA), while the Fighting Irish have not fared much better at 70.2 points allowed per game (T-No. 176 in NCAA). Late buckets will cause the over to hit.

Bet: Over 139.5 Points (-114)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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