The Duel

Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook Points to Solid PPR Value in Minnesota

Max Staley
Justin Jefferson fantasy outlook includes huge PPR upside with the Vikings.
Justin Jefferson fantasy outlook includes huge PPR upside with the Vikings. / Michael Hickey/Getty Images
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The Minnesota Vikings certainly didn't waste any time replacing Stefon Diggs. In fact, the Vikings used the No. 22 overall selection, which they acquired from the Buffalo Bills in the Diggs deal, to select his long-term replacement – LSU's Justin Jefferson.

Likely stepping into the No. 2 role behind Adam Thielen, Jefferson could be in for a solid fantasy campaign as a rookie.

Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook

With Diggs' departure leaving 94 vacated targets up for grabs in Minnesota, Jefferson should have plenty of opportunities right away.

Jefferson's over/under for his receiving yards in 2020 has been set at 725.5, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That is the fourth-highest total among rookie wide receivers, and the over/under for his touchdowns (5.5) is tied for most among first-year wideouts.

He's certainly got the potential to beat those projections, though, as he should be an excellent fit with Kirk Cousins. Having run a 4.43 49-yard dash, Jefferson projects to take over as the team's primary deep threat, though he's much more than just a burner. Jefferson is a smooth, precise route runner who caught 92.3 percent of his contested targets at LSU last season.

Cousins, meanwhile, had on-target throw on 79.0 percent of his attempts, good for fifth-best in the league. That elite ball placement could allow Jefferson to make a ton of plays after the catch, especially in an offense that prefers short, quick throws as Cousins only had a 7.6 average depth of target (aDOT) in 2019.

Jefferson is likely going to be a solid WR3 option next season, and we have him as the fifth-best WR in our dynasty rookie rankings.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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