Immediate Fantasy Football Trades That You Should Make Ahead of NFL Week 5
Heading into Week 5, we've reached the quarter pole for the 2019 fantasy football season. At this point, you should be starting to get a clear picture of how your fantasy team is holding up, and which position or positions you need to address. At the same time, trends and matchups that fantasy owners can exploit are becoming more reliable with the increased sample size.
This doesn't mean we can take fantasy production at face value though, and there are plenty of examples where an individual player's numbers don't line up with their true fantasy value.
Fantasy Football Trade Value
With those fantasy football buy-low and sell-high opportunities in mind, here are four fantasy football trades worth pursuing immediately as we look forward to Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season.
1. Trade For: David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears
David Montgomery carried a hefty draft cost in fantasy football this summer and, if you paid up for him, you've likely been disappointed so far this season. He's yet to hit 14.0 PPR fantasy points in a game, averaging only 10.0 per game. Week 1 was a dud, but the last three games have seen him rack up 63 touches (52 carries and 11 targets), which is more than twice the amount of any other Bears player. He's also the only Chicago running back to play at least two-thirds of the team's offensive snaps on more than one occasion, having done so in each of his last two games. Bringing workhorse volume into a dreamy Week 5 matchup with the Oakland Raiders, Montgomery's buy-low window could very well slam shut with a breakout performance in Week 5.
2. Trade Away: Sammy Watkins, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Sammy Watkins was never likely to repeat his three-TD performance from Week 1, but he was still expected to rack up huge volume with Tyreek Hill on the shelf. His volume has declined quickly though, with eight targets in Week 3 and only six in Week 4. While Watkins is second on the team with 14 targets over those last two games, Demarcus Robinson (13) and Mecole Hardman (10) aren't far behind. At this point, the real sell-high opportunity is probably gone, especially with Hill progressing toward a return, but putting feelers out to WR-needy teams could be a smart move for savvy fantasy owners.
3. Trade For: Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Outside of Dalvin Cook, the Minnesota Vikings' offense has been a fantasy football wasteland so far in 2019. However, things could get a lot better moving forward. The Vikings have shown a willingness to throw the ball when they're not simply trying to run out the clock with a lead (Kirk Cousins attempted 32 and 36 passes in their two losses this season), and Thielen combined for 14 targets in those games. He accounts for a 22.2 percent of the team's targets, and his 42.8-percent share of Minnesota's air yards is the NFL's highest mark through four games. Thielen's fantasy output has been solid in his two favorable matchups, and his next four games include three teams that have allowed top-seven passing yards to opponents this season. You'll have to make a sizable offer, but Thielen is a sure-fire WR1.
4. Trade Away: Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams
A 15-target, 13-reception game is obviously impressive, but Jared Goff isn't going to keep attempting 60-plus passes like he did in the Los Angeles Rams' Week 4 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Cooper Kupp is Goff's favorite target, with a 27 percent share of the team's targets (five percentage points higher than any other Rams player), and Brandin Cooks is the primary deep threat, with a 31 percent share of air yards – the next highest in the offense is 26 percent. Woods is often going to be the odd man out in the Rams' offense, especially with Todd Gurley's receiving volume trending up, with a 16 percent target share in Week 4. Woods could net you an upgrade at another position along with a lesser wideout in potential 2-for-1 deals.
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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.