Henry Ruggs III Being Disrespected by 2020 Projections For Rookie Year

Jason Schandl
Henry Ruggs III's rookie year projections for 2020 point to an underwhelming season with the Raiders.
Henry Ruggs III's rookie year projections for 2020 point to an underwhelming season with the Raiders. / Joe Robbins/Getty Images
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It was no surprise that the Las Vegas Raiders selected a wide receiver with the No. 12 pick in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. The receiver they selected, however, was a surprise.

Jerry Jeudy and CeeDee Lamb were widely regarded as the top wide receivers in this draft class, but the Raiders instead went with Jeudy's college teammate Henry Ruggs III, taking the speedster as the first wideout off the board.

Despite being the top drafted WR in the class, however, FanDuel Sportsbook's prop bets are projecting him for an underwhelming rookie year.

Ruggs' over/under for receiving yards is set at 740.5, and his over/under for touchdowns is set at 4.5, with the under sitting as a healthy -146 favorite. For context, Jerry Jeudy, selected three picks later, has an over/under of 850.5 receiving yards.

Looking at rookie year stats for all of the first-round wideouts taken over the last decade, those projections become especially disrespectful. With 740.5 yards, Ruggs would rank just 12th among the 32 players in that group, even though he was the top-drafted wideout in this year's class.

If we narrow our view to just the receivers taken in the top half of the first round and remove players who didn't stay healthy for at least 14 games, that would be the third-worst receiving total in the group, only beating Michael Floyd and DeVante Parker.

Ruggs has a chance to step in as the top wideout in a Raiders offense that didn't have a single WR eclipse even 700 yards in the 2019 season.

Even with this opportunity, however, the projections are calling for an underwhelming rookie year for the speedster.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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