Croatia vs Wales Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifying Match (Croatian Defense Shines)

Croatia vs Wales prediction, odds, lines, spread, date, stream & how to watch UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying match.
Croatia vs Wales prediction, odds, lines, spread, date, stream & how to watch UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying match. / AP Photos/Darko Bandic

Croatia vs Wales Match Info

UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifying Match
Croatia (0-0-0, 0 points) vs. Wales (0-0-0, 0 points)
Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
Time: 3:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Stadion Poljud — Split, Croatia

The UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying round begins this weekend, featuring a matchup between Croatia and Wales on Saturday, March 25. 

Croatia hopes to qualify for the Euro after failing to make it past the Round of 16 in 2016 and 2020. Meanwhile, Wales was also eliminated in the 2020 Round of 16 after making it to the semifinals four years prior. Neither country has won the entire tournament before, though.

Which country will get the important victory this weekend?

Croatia vs Wales Odds & Spread

All UEFA Euro 2024 betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: CRO: (-180) | WAL: (+500) | Draw (+290)
Spread: CRO: -1 (+175) | WAL: +1 (+135)
Total: 2.5 – Over: (+112) | Under: (-136)
Team to Score the First Goal: CRO: (-230) | WAL: (+230) I NO GOALS: (+850)

Croatia enters this contest as the clear favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:45 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the under being favored at -136 odds.

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Croatia vs Wales Prediction & Pick

A meeting with the Croatians tends to spell disaster for Wales. After all, Croatia has won four of its last five matches against the Welsh, outscoring them by a total of 9-3 over that stretch. Having said that, the two sides did play to a 1-1 draw when they met in a Euro 2020 qualification match four years ago.

It's also hard trusting Wales after going winless in its eight previous international contests. On the flip side, Croatia has won four of its last six, featuring victories over solid teams like Canada, Japan and Brazil at the FIFA World Cup. Keeping that in mind, I just don't see Croatia losing here.

Final Score Prediction: Croatia: 2 | Wales: 1

Croatia vs Wales Betting Trends

- Croatia has qualified for the UEFA European Championship six times. 
- Switzerland has qualified for the UEFA European Championship twice.
- Croatia is 3-1-1 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Wales is 0-1-4 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Croatia is 4-1-0 (W-D-L) in its last five head-to-head matchups with Wales.

Croatia vs Wales Best Bet

Although I fully expect Croatia to win this contest, I don't see it being a complete blowout. After all, each of the last three Croatia-Wales matchups has either ended in a draw or been decided by just one goal. As soon as the Croatians get a lead they'll likely turn up the defense, lessening the probability of winning by a multi-goal margin.

Bet: Wales +1 (+135)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.