Colin Cowherd's AFC North Predictions Are Insane

The Baltimore Ravens were easily the best regular-season team in the NFL in 2020. They finished 14-2 with an average point differential of plus-13.7. They didn't lose a single game after Week 5, and one of their two losses was at the hands of the Super Bowl champs.

But at this point the hype seems to be getting totally out of control, as highlighted by Colin Cowherd's predictions for the AFC North in 2020.

A 16-0 predictions is absolutely wild. Only one team in NFL history has ever managed a 16-0 regular season, and since 2010 there have only been two teams to win 15 games, with another three winning 14 (including Baltimore in 2019).

NFL football just has too much randomness and variance on a week-by-week basis to make it a safe bet for even the best teams to win 14 or 15 games, let alone 16. The prediction is particularly shocking in 2020, where the shortened offseason and coronavirus concerns threaten to ramp up the variance to an even higher degree.

Highlighting this, FanDuel Sportsbook has a bet available on whether any team has a 16-0 regular season. The "No" side of the bet has -4000 odds, which reflects an implied probability of 97.6 percent.

The Ravens may be a great team, but even if you think they're the best team in the NFL, projecting a 16-0 regular season is just crazy.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.