The Duel

Chiefs Open as Massive Favorites Over Browns in Divisional Round

Max Staley
Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns are huge underdogs against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.
Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns are huge underdogs against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. / Jason Miller/Getty Images

Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns will be returning to a familiar role this weekend. This scrappy Browns team is once again a massive underdog in the NFL Playoffs, as FanDuel Sportsbook lists Kansas City as massive 10-point home favorites.

This game is also projected to turn into a shootout quickly, as the 56-point over/under is the highest total of the week, sitting 4.5 points above the week's second-highest total.

While the odds suggest a high-scoring game that could turn into a blowout, Cleveland does present real matchup issues for Kansas City. Mayfield probably won't be keeping pace with Patrick Mahomes like he did when they met in college, but the Browns' rushing attack will give the Chiefs legitimate problems.

The Browns had the league's third-most prolific rushing attack, totaling 2,374 yards as a team and Cleveland had the seventh-best rushing attack by Football Outsiders' DVOA metric. Kansas City, meanwhile, had the league's second-worst rushing defense by DVOA.

With Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt leading the way, Cleveland can rely on a ball-control offense that can put up points in a hurry and keep Mahomes on the sidelines.

The Chiefs may be massive favorites to advance to the AFC Championship, but the Browns won't make it easy on them.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.