Browns Odds to Win the Super Bowl Are Surprisingly Low After Major Offseason Improvements

Tristan Jung
The Browns' Super Bowl odds are underrating them in 2020.
The Browns' Super Bowl odds are underrating them in 2020. / Michael Hickey/Getty Images

The Cleveland Browns are coming off a turbulent 6-10 season that began with high expectations and ended with the firing of head coach Freddie Kitchens after just one year.

The level of chaos that surrounds the Browns has, predictably, dropped their Super Bowl odds on FanDuel Sportsbook to +3300, which ranks only No. 17 in the NFL. However, those odds may be underrating the Browns, who still have a talented roster and have stabilized their situation by hiring former Minnesota Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski as head coach.

The Browns have flaws, but there are reasons to believe a turnaround is in the works. By all accounts, the Kitchens era was a disorganized mess, but that's over now. The Browns didn't shed any top-level talent in free agency and added useful pieces across the roster. Austin Hooper, Jack Conklin, and Andrew Billings aren't household names, but they are productive players that should help the Browns with their depth issues from 2020.

Meanwhile, the Browns still have Baker Mayfield, who possesses the skills to play like he did in his rookie season. Those betting on the Browns would largely be betting on Mayfield to bounce back, and given Stefanski's strengths and the talent around him, there's lots of room for optimism on that front. Elsewhere, Nick Chubb, Denzel Ward, and Jarvis Landry were all bright spots last year and are set to replicate their performances in 2020. In addition, the Browns have the No. 10 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft and could add another blue-chip player to the roster.

The NFL's new CBA also allows for a seventh playoff team, effective immediately. The addition of another playoff spot could be a boon to the Browns, as getting through the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North is a tall order. With all that in mind, putting the Browns at a 2.9% implied probability to win the Super Bowl seems quite low.

Obviously, the Browns need to address their in-house problems before even thinking of challenging their AFC rivals. Putting together consistent performances on all levels should be the highest priority for Stefanski's staff. Still, the Browns have the talent to be much better than their 2019 record.

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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.