Two of the AFC's best face off in what should be the most exciting matchup of Week 1, as the Cleveland Browns travel to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Here's three of the best best player prop bets heading into this anticipated AFC matchup, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Browns vs Chiefs Week 1 Best Bets
1. Nick Chubb - Rushing Yards: Over 71.5 (-114)
The Cleveland Browns love to run the football. In fact, this team ranked with the fourth-highest rush percentage (49.7%) last season. Cleveland may feature a two-headed monster of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, but Chubb is the feature back of these two. The Kansas City Chiefs don't excel at stopping the run, either, giving up the 12th-most rushing yards per contest in 2020 (122.1). Another factor is Odell Beckham Jr.'s health. OBJ is still listed as questionable. In games OBJ missed last year, Chubb eclipsed 71.5 rushing yards in six of those eight contests. Expect a heavy dose of Chubb in Week 1.
2. Kansas City Chiefs - Points: Over 30.5 (-110)
The total over/under of 54.5 points in this game suggests a shootout. Naturally, considering the Chiefs ranked sixth in the NFL by putting up 29.6 points per game last season. While KC's 2020 average sits below the 30.5 over/under in this game, this team scored at least 31 points in 10 of their 16 games a year ago. Cleveland averaged 26.2 points against but surrendered at least 31 points in nearly half (7) of their games. It should be noted that the Browns played one of the easier schedules in the NFL last season. Of the 11 games Cleveland held their opponents to 31 points or less, seven were against teams with scoring offenses that ranked bottom-half of the league.
3. Patrick Mahomes - Rushing Yards: Under 13.5 (-122)
If Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offense has one issue in this game, it'll be against the new look pass-rush unit in Cleveland. The Browns added Jadeveon Clowney this offseason to line up alongside Myles Garrett. Truly, a scary combo. Cleveland is expected to raise their 2.4 sacks per game rate from last year. In his three years as a starter, Mahomes has been sacked at least twice in 18 games. Of those 18, he's only eclipsed 13.5 rushing yards in 8 games. That's less than half. Rather not take a chance on the Browns duo keeping Mahomes from wanting to use his feet.
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Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.