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3 Dark Horse Picks to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

FairwayJay
AT&T Byron Nelson PGA dark horse golf picks this week.
AT&T Byron Nelson PGA dark horse golf picks this week. / Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images
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This week the PGA pros head to Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson.

Dallas native Jordan Spieth will feel right at home playing nearby on the first-time PGA Tour course at TPC Craig Ranch. Spieth (+1000) is one of the favorites to win, according to FanDuel Sportsbook golf odds. Another top Texan whose odds are dropping is Scottie Scheffler (+1600).

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson has withdrawn with a knee injury, but No. 3 Jon Rahm (+850) is a favorite along with No. 5 Bryson DeChambeau (+700). Those three golfers will be popular picks to win, along with other leading contenders like Brooks Koepka (+1600) and Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama (+1600).

But looking down the odds board much further, here are three dark horse picks who could win the AT&T Byron Nelson and challenge for a top finishing position.

Dark Horse Golf Picks This Week

3. Patton Kizzire (+15000)

Patton Kizzire's long odds reflect his struggles with Strokes Gained (SG) off the tee. But the two-time PGA Tour winner should find more greens and success with wider and more forgiving fairways at TPC Craig Ranch. Kizzire finished top-10 at the Valero Texas Open in April and made the cut in two recent events on courses not a suited to his game. Kizzire ranks top-25 in this field over his last 36 rounds in SG: Putting and Approach. Those stats should carry him to more birdies, which will be required to go low and contend.

2. Carlos Ortiz (+6000)

Carlos Ortiz played college golf at the University of North Texas, and this looks like a good week to turn around his recent struggles. The 30-year-old has not played or finished well since February, yet he remains one of the top putters and short game specialist on Tour, ranking top-five in both stats over his last 36 rounds. Ortiz is ranked No. 54 in the world, and his off-the-tee stats are still solid, ranking top-25 in this field. A better finish should be expected this week.

1. Doug Ghim (+6000)

Doug Ghim is a slightly-built 25-year old who was an All American at the University of Texas. He's an improving player whose iron play has been firing well for a few months while showing better putting and results on the greens. Ghim has seven top-25 finishes this season and contended at THE PLAYERS Championship before blowing up on Sunday. He ranks top-11 in this field over his last 36 rounds in SG tee-to-green, ball striking and approach. He's also top-20 on TOUR this season for greens in regulation. Ghim is a former No. 1 ranked amateur player, and he went through Q-School on this course in 2018 and shot 16-under par.


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