AJ Brown Fantasy Outlook Includes Top-10 Upside Despite Competition From Julio Jones in 2021

Isaiah De Los Santos
A.J. Brown fantasy football outlook includes WR1 potential in 2021.
A.J. Brown fantasy football outlook includes WR1 potential in 2021. / Carmen Mandato/Getty Images
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A.J. Brown has been nothing but productive for the Tennessee Titans over his first two NFL seasons. He improved on his impressive rookie-year numbers by setting career highs across the board in 2020, and he's in position to feast once again, especially with new teammate Julio Jones commanding attention from opposing defenses.

Brown's outlook heading into the fantasy football season includes sky-high potential for the 2021 campaign.

A.J. Brown Fantasy Outlook

Brown registered another thousand-yard season in 2020, ranking as WR14 in PPR scoring despite missing two games with a knee injury. He had cleanup procedures on both knees this offseason, but there's no concerns about his health heading into Week 1. He's currently being drafted as the WR8 (No. 23 overall) in 2021, according to FantasyPros' Average Draft Position (ADP) data.

The former Ole Miss standout saw the team high in targets for the second straight year, enjoying an increase from 84 as a rookie to 106 in 2020. Brown took advantage of those looks, registering career highs in receptions (70), receiving yards (1,075) and TDs (11). His catch rate increasing from 61.9% in 2019 to 66.0% in 2020 was an encouraging development that hopefully carries into 2021 as well.

One major factor that will impact Brown's production is the arrival of Jones. An injury-riddled year tanked his 2020 performance, but he averaged nearly 162 targets per game in the six prior seasons.

Jones could be viewed as a threat to steal some of Brown's looks. However, Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries leave behind a combined 192 targets after leaving this offseason.

Davis and Humphries, despite missing a combined 11 games last year, accounted for a combined 27.1% of the Titans' total targets in 2020. In comparison, Jones accounted for 24.0% of the Falcons' targets in his last healthy season in 2019.

Brown should continue to stake his claim as one of the NFL's best wideouts in 2021. His connection with quarterback Ryan Tannehill has only gotten stronger over his first two seasons, and a healthy Jones will have a magnetic effect on defenses that opens up even better looks for Brown in his third year.

Brown comes in at WR10 in our 2021 fantasy football rankings.


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Isaiah De Los Santos is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Isaiah De Los Santos also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username zayyy05328. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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