3 Best Tom Brady Prop Bets for Buccaneers vs Packers NFC Championship Game
By Max Staley
Tom Brady will take center stage this weekend, as his Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game. For bettors who are looking to keep a particularly close eye on the GOAT, there are plenty of Tom Brady prop bets available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Here are the three best Brady-themed player props for this Buccaneers-Packers clash.
3. Tom Brady Interception: No (-104)
Brady threw 12 interceptions this season, which was tied for the third-worst total of his career. While he was frequently throwing picks at the start of the season, he's really cleaned up his play recently. Over his last six games, Brady has only thrown 1 interception. That's an insane turnaround considering he threw 11 picks in his first 11 outings this season. Aside from Jaire Alexander, Green Bay's secondary is nothing special, ranking T-No. 16 in INT rate (2.1%) and generating 11 picks on the year (T-No. 18). Don't expect Brady to start making mistakes now.
2. Tom Brady - Longest Pass: Over 37.5 (-126)
Brady has done a ton to dispel the narrative that he's just a dink-and-dunk QB this season. No one had a higher average depth of target (aDOT) than Brady this season (9.1). That means on, on average, no one's pass attempts went further than Brady's. It's quite the shift from his last two seasons in New England, when he ranked No. 23 and No. 18 in 2019 and 2018, respectively. Needless to say, that aggressive style translated to some explosive plays from Brady this year. He led the NFL in deep (20-plus yards) attempts (91) and completions (36) in 2020. He also had at least one 38-yard completion in four of his last six starts and even managed a 36-yard completion in one of the two games he failed to hit this mark.
1. Tom Brady - Passing Yards: Over 285.5 (-112)
Brady had an up-and-down game against the New Orleans Saints, but he was arguably the hottest QB in the league before that. In his four games prior to that one, Brady averaged 379.5 passing yards per game. His 199-yard outing against the Saints can be attributed to the fact that New Orleans generates pressure at an elite rate, and Brady isn't the same when under duress. Green Bay is not New Orleans. The Packers had the seventh-lowest pressure rate in the league (20.9%) in 2020. When throwing from a clean pocket, no one had more passing yards than Brady in 2020 (3,958). If the Packers can't get to Brady, this secondary is going to get torched.
Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk free for up to $1,000!
Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.