Two Key Stats Show Bears Could Regress in 2019 NFL Season

Max Staley
Wild Card Round - Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears
Wild Card Round - Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears / Jonathan Daniel

Cover Photo: Getty Images

While "winter is coming" are the famed words of house Stark on Game of Thrones, "regression is coming" might as well be the NFL analytics' equivalent. And neither warning should be taken lightly.

Unfortunately for Chicago Bears' fans, two stats show that the team could be in for a serious regression in the 2019 NFL season.

Last season, the Bears went 12-4 and won the NFC North, taking the NFL by storm, thanks in part to an innovative offensive attack and a dominant defense. However, they also benefitted from having an extremely healthy roster on both sides of the ball.

Health is one of the most important and unpredictable aspects of a successful season in the NFL. If Chicago has to deal with injuries in 2019, it's fair to say the team could regress from it's NFC North division-winning form.

With so much of the Bears' cap being tied to Khalil Mack's six-year, $141 million deal, Chicago might not have enough depth to adequately compensate for many key losses. The team had to spend significant draft capital to bring Mack in, and only made five picks in the 2019 NFL Draft, which could also hurt the team's depth.

Additionally, injury luck may be more important than you might think, as four of the five teams with the biggest improvements in injury luck made the NFL Playoffs last season. The lone exception was the New York Giants, a team that likely didn't have enough talent to compete at a high level, regardless of health.

Of course, it's unfair to try and predict injury luck four months ahead of the NFL season. But, considering Chicago was one of the healthiest teams in the league last year, it's tough to see that happening in back-to-back seasons. This could potentially lead to some regression from the Bears in 2019, which is likely good news for the rest of the NFC North in the 100th season of the National Football League.

Join FanDuel Sportsbook Today. New users get a risk-free bet up to $500. Join Now.

Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.