Kyle Pitts Fantasy Outlook Offers High-Risk, High-Reward Potential in 2021

Larry Rupp
Kyle Pitts' fantasy outlook offers high-risk, high reward potential in 2021.
Kyle Pitts' fantasy outlook offers high-risk, high reward potential in 2021. / Edward M. Pio Roda/Getty Images

The Kyle Pitts hype train has yet to stop growing after the Atlanta Falcons selected him at No. 4 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. His combination of size and speed makes him a dangerous player on offense, but the price tag that comes with makes him a high-risk player in fantasy football leagues.

Kyle Pitts Fantasy Value

Pitts has the talent to carve out an immediate role on this Falcons' offense and could become a superstar at the young age of 20 years old. He showcased his athleticism over three college seasons by racking up 1,492 yards on 100 receptions and scoring 18 touchdowns with the Florida Gators.

However, fantasy managers have to realize that drafting Pitts means they are paying the price of a premium tight end for a player that has yet to take a single snap. Tight ends historically get out to slow starts at the NFL level and it may take time for Pitts to adjust to facing top-level defenses.

Just two tight ends have surpassed 627 receiving yards as a rookie since the 1998 season and they each saw 115-plus targets. It's hard to imagine Pitts seeing that amount of work with head coach Arthur Smith leading the way. In fact, Jonnu Smith only saw 65 targets last season as Smith's starting tight end with the Tennessee Titans.

If Pitts can put it all together, he could end up as a top-3 TE. Matt Ryan will be looking for someone other than Calvin Ridley to step up and take over the large target share veteran Julio Jones kept hostage for so many years. All it comes down to here is taking the risk of using an early draft pick.

Kyle Pitts ADP

Pitts' average draft position is 46.8 overall and No. 4 amongst TEs in PPR leagues, according to FantasyPros. Meanwhile, he checks in at TE4 in The Duel's 2021 fantasy football rankings.

Pitts' ceiling is sky high heading into the fall, but fantasy managers must decide if the risk is worth it.

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.