Keenan Allen Fantasy Outlook Remains Strong With Tyrod Taylor at QB

Keenan Allen fantasy football outlook is still solid with Tyrod Taylor at the helm.
Keenan Allen fantasy football outlook is still solid with Tyrod Taylor at the helm. / Rob Leiter/Getty Images

Keenan Allen has been one of the most consistent assets in fantasy football over the past few seasons. He's finished as a top-12 wide receiver in PPR formats in each of the last three years, with two top-six finishes during that stretch.

With Philip Rivers now out of the picture, though, Allen's fantasy value will be inherently tied to Tyrod Taylor's performance. That could hurt his production a bit, but it seems the market has overreacted to this change, as he's currently being drafted as a low-end WR2, according to FantasyPros' average draft position (ADP) data.

Keenan Allen Fantasy Football Value 2020

Allen currently has an ADP of WR20. The position is more loaded than usual this season, but that's still a really low ranking for one of the NFL's best receivers.

While the switch from Rivers to Taylor will admittedly lower Allen's ceiling, there's plenty of reason to believe Allen will get along just fine with his new QB. For one, the last time we saw Taylor as a full-time starter (2017) he posted an average depth of target (aDOT) of 8.6 yards. That's the exact same mark Rivers posted last year, suggesting Taylor will be just fine throwing the same types of passes that Allen saw from Rivers.

That's not to say either is a check-down artist, but it doesn't mean they're chucking it deep each throw, either. It suggests they're throwing a lot of intermediate routes, and that just so happens to be where Allen does his best work.

Taylor likely won't reach the volume Rivers did last season, making it difficult for Allen to replicate the 148 targets he's averaged over the past three years. But projecting Allen to fall from a bonafide WR1 to a low-end WR2 seems like an overreaction.

Allen looks like an incredible value based on his current ADP.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.