Pirates vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 11

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are among the MLB teams busy on Tuesday, up against the Miami Marlins.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Pirates vs Marlins Game Info
- Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) vs. Miami Marlins (60-59)
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
- Coverage: Marlins.TV and SportsNet PT
Pirates vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PIT: (-108) | MIA: (+100)
- Spread: PIT: -1.5 (+152) | MIA: +1.5 (-184)
- Total: 7 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Pirates vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Paul Skenes (Pirates) - 9-10, 3.96 ERA vs Eury Pérez (Marlins) - 5-9, 3.61 ERA
The Pirates will give the nod to Paul Skenes (9-10, 3.96 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 10 on the season, and the Marlins will counter with Eury Perez (5-9, 3.61 ERA). When Skenes starts, his team is 8-16-0 against the spread this season. Skenes' team has been victorious in 40% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-12. The Marlins have an 8-11-0 ATS record in Pérez's 19 starts that had a set spread. The Marlins are 3-8 in Pérez's 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (51.7%)
Pirates vs Marlins Moneyline
- Miami is the underdog, +100 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is a -108 favorite despite being on the road.
Pirates vs Marlins Spread
- The Pirates are at the Marlins and are favored by 1.5 runs (+152 to cover) on the runline. Miami is -184 to cover.
Pirates vs Marlins Over/Under
- A combined run total of 7 has been set for Pirates-Marlins on Aug. 11, with the over at -115 and the under at -105.
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Pirates vs Marlins Betting Trends
- The Pirates have won in 35, or 54.7%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This year Pittsburgh has won 35 of 66 games when listed as at least -108 on the moneyline.
- The Pirates and their opponents have gone over in 66 of their 118 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 58-60-0 in 118 games with a line this season.
- The Marlins have won 38.7% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (24-38).
- Miami has gone 20-31 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer (39.2%).
- The Marlins have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 117 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 57 of those games (57-58-2).
- The Marlins have covered 51.3% of their games this season, going 60-57-0 ATS.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Bryan Reynolds has 118 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .379. He has a .268 batting average and a slugging percentage of .443.
- Among the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 50th, his on-base percentage ranks 11th, and he is 57th in slugging.
- Reynolds will look for his fourth straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two doubles and three walks.
- Brandon Lowe has 111 hits, which ranks first among Pittsburgh batters this season. He's batting .253 with 51 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .485 with an on-base percentage of .319.
- Among qualifiers, he ranks 76th in batting average, 94th in on-base percentage and 22nd in slugging percentage.
- Nick Gonzales has an OPS of .757, fueled by an OBP of .359 and a team-best slugging percentage of .399 this season.
- Spencer Horwitz is batting .269 with a .377 OBP and 37 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.
Marlins Player Leaders
- Otto Lopez has accumulated 147 hits with a .470 slugging percentage, both team-best marks for the Marlins. He's batting .318 and with an on-base percentage of .351.
- Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he ranks second in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 32nd in slugging percentage.
- Xavier Edwards leads his team with a .365 on-base percentage. He has a batting average of .284 while slugging .390.
- He ranks 21st in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and 108th in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Javier Sanoja is batting .274 with 25 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 17 walks.
- Jakob Marsee has 14 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 58 walks while batting .206.
Pirates vs Marlins Head to Head
- 6/14/2026: 4-2 MIA (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 6/13/2026: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 6/12/2026: 8-3 MIA (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 6/11/2025: 5-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 6/10/2025: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 3/30/2025: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 3/29/2025: 5-4 MIA (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
- 3/28/2025: 4-3 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 3/27/2025: 5-4 MIA (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 9/11/2024: 3-1 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
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