Nick Chubb Fantasy Outlook Still Elite Despite Kareem Hunt's Presence

Max Staley
Nick Chubb's fantasy outlook suggests he's a rock-solid RB1 for 2020.
Nick Chubb's fantasy outlook suggests he's a rock-solid RB1 for 2020. / Bobby Ellis/Getty Images

Nick Chubb has been an absolute monster ever since the Cleveland Browns gave him the starting job. In fact, only two players (Ezekiel Elliott and Derrick Henry) have more rushing yards than Chubb during that span.

Obviously, the Georgia product has been great for fantasy football purposes as well, clocking in as the RB6 in standard-scoring formats last season. That's right in line with his average draft position (ADP) in 2020, as he currently carries an ADP of RB8, per FantasyPros. That's a hefty price tag, so let's break down whether or not Chubb is worth a late first-round pick.

Nick Chubb Fantasy Outlook

There are only two things not to like about Chubb this year: the presence of Kareem Hunt and his lack of involvement in the passing game. But fantasy owners shouldn't overreact to either.

For one, the narrative that Hunt hurts Chubb's production is a little overblown. In the eight games he played before Hunt got into the mix, the second-year stud handled 19.3 carries for 100.4 rushing yards per game and 6 total touchdowns. In the eight subsequent games, he averaged 18.0 carries for 86.4 rushing yards and 4 total TDs. That's definitely a dip, but it still would've put him on a 16-game pace for 288.0 carries and 1,382 rushing yards.

Where Hunt hurts Chubb most is in the receiving game, as he saw 32 targets over the first half of the season compared to just 17 over the second half. That does cap his ceiling, particularly in PPR formats, but Chubb is productive enough on the ground to offset those concerns.

And there's reason to believe he could be more productive than ever as a rusher this season.

The Browns completely revamped their offensive line, which was a bottom-five run-blocking unit in 2019, per Pro Football Focus. Cleveland spent a top-10 pick on Jedrick Wills Jr. and brought in Jack Conklin, who was a top-five run blocker among qualified tackles, per PFF.

Additionally, the difference between playing under Kevin Stefanski instead of Freddie Kitchens cannot be overstated. Kitchens' ineptitude aside, Stefanski is an excellent play caller who just coaxed a career year out of Dalvin Cook. Last season, Stefanski's Vikings had the fourth-most carries in the league, while Cleveland was in the bottom 12 of that category. That's huge for Chubb.

With the league's most-improved offensive line, an exciting new head coach and his deadly power-speed combo, Chubb should be a rock-sold RB1 in 2020. He'll be most valuable in standard leagues, but he has top-five upside regardless of the format. Chubb clocks in at RB9 in our 2020 fantasy rankings.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.