The Duel

Joe Lunardi's Last Four In and First Four Out Reveals Surprising Names Heading Into Conference Tournaments

David Kaestle
Coach K and Duke could miss out on this year's NCAA Tournament.
Coach K and Duke could miss out on this year's NCAA Tournament. / Grant Halverson/Getty Images

It's officially March. And after a one-year hiatus, we will once again be experiencing the NCAA Basketball Tournament and all the madness that comes along with it this year.

In what has been an unconventional college basketball season so far, we have made it to the conference tournaments. However, fans and analysts are always looking ahead to the big dance and selection Sunday on March 14.

ESPN's Joe Lunardi is constantly updating his list of teams that could be the last four in or first four out of the NCAA tournament come Selection Sunday. Teams that are currently on the bubble.

While every conference tournament winner receives an automatic bid – which will only be 31 teams this year because the Ivy League didn't play its season – the remaining spots will be handed out by at-large bids decided upon by the selection committee.

With that in mind let's take a look at Lunardi's current projections for the teams that will be the last four in and first four out.

Last Four In NCAA Tournament 2021

Lunardi projects Colorado State, Seton Hall, Georgia Tech and Xavier as the bubble teams that just sneak their way into the tournament.

First Four Out NCAA Tournament 2021

The bracketologist also has some blue blood programs that are usually locks to make the tournament on his list of teams that will just miss out on the madness in 2021 after uncharacteristically disappointing seasons. Michigan State, Duke, Indiana and Utah State make up Lunardi's current list of teams on the outside looking in.

Now these are just current projections, and any one of these teams on the outside looking in can change their fortunes with a conference tournament win or two plus what they do to finish the season. But just seeing names like Duke and Michigan State on the outside looking in at this point is all you need to see just how unconventional of a season this has been in college basketball. It should make March all the more interesting in 2021.

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David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.