After months of speculation, the long-awaited Julio Jones trade will happen. The Atlanta Falcons will send Jones to the Tennessee Titans in exchange for "at least" a second-round pick.
This obviously shakes up the entire Titans offense, so let's take a look at how it changes the fantasy football outlook for Jones, A.J. Brown and Ryan Tannehill.
Julio Jones Fantasy Outlook
Injuries slowed Julio down in 2020, but he's been one of the best wide receivers in fantasy football for years. Part of his huge production, however, has come from his elite volume.
From 2014 to 2019, Jones only saw fewer than 148 targets in a single season once (when he played 14 games in 2016), and also only caught fewer than 88 passes once (83 in 2016). He averaged a shade over 160 targets and 100 receptions per season in that stretch.
That volume likely won't be there for him in Tennessee.
Leaning on Derrick Henry, the Titans were one of only three teams in the NFL last season to call more run plays than pass plays. They were also the third most run-heavy team in the NFL in 2019.
Of course, with a new weapon on the outside they may open things up a bit, but this is a team that wants to run the ball with their workhorse.
Julio also won't be the clear No. 1 receiver he was for most of his tenure in Atlanta. A.J. Brown is one of the best receivers in the NFL already, and he led the Titans with a 22.6% target share last year.
Jones should see an uptick in efficiency playing in what promises to be an outstanding offense, especially with Brown taking away some of the defense's attention. That means Julio's fantasy outlook doesn't fall off too much, but certainly don't expect him to return to form as the top-five option he once was.
A.J. Brown Fantasy Outlook
Competing with Julio for targets shouldn't really hurt Brown's fantasy outlook too much.
He was already competing last year, only seeing 14 more targets than Corey Davis (92) while each playing 14 games. Despite that, he finished as the WR7 on a per-game basis, averaging 17.2 PPR fantasy points per game.
Julio is better than Corey Davis, but don't expect this move to hurt Brown's fantasy outlook thanks to the increased efficiency he stands to see in the improved offense.
Ryan Tannehill Fantasy Outlook
Tannehill is one of the biggest winners of this trade.
Brown is already one of the most efficient players in the league, and even in recent years, Julio has been right up there with him. Both have ranked top-five in yards per route run in both of the last two seasons.
The potential for some increased passing volume while also dealing with a much more dangerous duo of top wideouts this season is a massive upgrade for Tannehill.
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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.