The Duel

Week 6 Fantasy Football Picks: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts

Max Staley
Joe Burrow fantasy outlook suggests he's not worth a start in Week 6.
Joe Burrow fantasy outlook suggests he's not worth a start in Week 6. / Rob Carr/Getty Images

The Cincinnati Bengals travel to Indianapolis to take on the Colts in this Week 6 showdown. Cincinnati's offense will be looking for a bounce-back game after being held to just 3 points in Week 5 by the Baltimore Ravens, but that could prove difficult against Indianapolis' similarly stout defense.

If you need some fantasy football help for this one, here's some start 'em, sit 'em advice for this Week 6 matchup.

Who Should I Start Fantasy Football

Start Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Tee Higgins was the lone bright spot for Cincinnati's offense on Sunday, turning 8 targets into 4 catches for 62 yards. This is yet another solid performance from the 2020 second-round pick, who has now gone over 40 yards in three consecutive games. He's averaging 7.5 targets per game over his last four while scoring 2 TDs in that time. Even in a tough matchup, Higgins' combination of talent and opportunity makes him a solid start on a weekly basis.

Start Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts: After an explosive Week 2 performance, Taylor looked poised to be an elite running back the rest of the way. He has underwhelmed a bit in the three subsequent games, however, never topping 68 rushing yards and seeing just 5 total targets in that time. This looks like a great spot for the rookie RB, though. The Colts are 8-point favorites in this one, per FanDuel Sportsbook, meaning Taylor will likely be called upon to salt the game away. Facing a bottom-12 defense against the run in Football Outsiders' DVOA metrics, that could pay off in a big way this week.

Sit Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow has been remarkably fun to watch this year, even while he runs for his life behind this leaky offensive line. However, there's a pretty clear trend developing in his game. Burrow has faced three teams that are below average in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA metrics (Cleveland, Philadelphia, Jacksonville), averaging 20.0 fantasy points per game. He has averaged just 10.3 PPG against defenses in the top half of that metric, however (Baltimore, Los Angeles). In fact, the splits are even more drastic than that, as Burrow's 16.3-point showing against the Chargers was buoyed by 46 rushing yards and a TD on the ground. He's averaged 188.0 passing yards against the good defenses and 309.3 against the three others. With Indianapolis checking in at No. 1 in that pass defense DVOA metric, and No. 2 in points allowed per game, Burrow is not a recommended play here.

Sit T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts: After a slow start to the year, T.Y. Hilton finally showed some signs of life on Sunday. He turned 10 targets into 6 catches for 69 yards – all of which were season highs. However, this doesn't look like a great spot for the veteran. Hilton has only seen more than five targets twice on the year and both games came in losses. With Indianapolis being an 8-point favorite this week, Hilton's usage could look a lot more like it has in the team's three wins (4.3 targets, 3.0 catches, 36.3 receiving yards per game and 0 TDs). Plus, Cincinnati has been surprisingly effective against the pass this season, ranking No. 10 in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA metrics.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.