The Duel

David Johnson Fantasy Value Skyrockets Following Trade to Texans

Max Staley
David Johnson will likely be the feature back on the Houston Texans.
David Johnson will likely be the feature back on the Houston Texans. / Norm Hall/Getty Images

The NFL's legal tampering period began at 12 p.m. EST on March 16. Less than two hours later, the Houston Texans have already begun to make some franchise-changing roster moves.

David Johnson Trade

The team has traded star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins and a fourth-round 2020 NFL Draft pick to the Arizona Cardinals in exchange for David Johnson and a second-round 2021 NFL Draft pick. Likely set for a much-larger role in Houston, Johnson's fantasy football value has vastly improved as a result of this deal.

David Johnson Fantasy Football Value

Anyone who took Johnson with a first-round pick last season likely wasn't too happy with the results. Still, his drop in production was likely more due to injury than anything else, as he was actually pretty effective over the first six games of the season.

Johnson averaged 102.2 yards from scrimmage per game, and scored 5 touchdowns during that span. That would've put him on a 16-game pace to accumulate 1,635 yards from scrimmage and 13 total TDs had he stayed healthy.

Unfortunately, Johnson certainly didn't stay healthy, as he never saw more than 5 carries in a single game from Week 7 on, and didn't see the field at all after Week 13.

While his health is far from guaranteed, he has a feasible path to a big workload in Houston. This move makes it unlikely that the team retains Carlos Hyde or Lamar Miller, and his primary competition for work figures to be Duke Johnson Jr. Had he stayed in Arizona, he would've likely been buried behind Kenyan Drake, who was flat-out dominant down the stretch for the Cardinals.

As always, Johnson's injury history is going to make him a risky investment, but he could be the feature back in an above-average Texans' offense. Johnson is best viewed as a boom-or-bust RB2 going forward.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.