3M Open Win Simulations: Finau, Matusyama, Im, and Young Stand Above the Rest

Just two weeks remain on the PGA Tour's regular season schedule before the FedExCup Playoffs begin.

Some golfers in the field this week are on the outside of the playoff hunt and could use a big result this week.

Here's what my model -- based on long-term scoring trends, recency adjustments, and field-strength weighting -- has to say about this week's event.

3M Open Win Simulations

A decent amount of win equity is going toward the big four this week of Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, and Cameron Young -- as expected.

Finau's putting has cooled off noticeably over recent events, but according to datagolf, he ranks first in the field in true strokes gained: approach over his past 50 rounds.

Matsuyama, Im, Young, and Finau comprise the top-four in total strokes gained over the past 50 rounds, as well, so it's nice to see the model viewing them as a cut above the rest of the field.

Fifth on that list in true strokes gained over the last 50 rounds, however, is Ryan Fox, who also sees his name toward the top of the win simulation board. His 3M Open win odds are +5000 via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Aaron Rai (+4500) is also receiving some extra attention from the model. Rai, the most accurate driver in the field, has a really strong tee-to-green game, as he ranks fifth in the field over the past 50 rounds. His putter needs to heat up.

What the results are really showing me is that -- although there is a clear top-four -- this one is fairly wide open.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.