Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 28

Odds updated as of 11:12 p.m.

The New York Yankees are among the MLB teams in action on Sunday, up against the Baltimore Orioles.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Yankees vs Orioles Game Info

• New York Yankees (93-68) vs. Baltimore Orioles (75-86)
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: YES and MASN

Yankees vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-190) | BAL: (+160)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+108) | BAL: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Yankees vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Luis Gil (Yankees) - 4-1, 3.29 ERA vs Kyle Bradish (Orioles) - 1-1, 2.25 ERA

The probable starters are Luis Gil (4-1) for the Yankees and Kyle Bradish (1-1) for the Orioles. When Gil starts, his team is 5-5-0 against the spread this season. Gil's team has won 70% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-3). The Orioles have gone 2-3-0 ATS in Bradish's five starts that had a set spread. The Orioles are 1-2 in Bradish's three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (57.8%)

Yankees vs Orioles Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Yankees-Orioles, New York is the favorite at -190, and Baltimore is +160 playing on the road.

Yankees vs Orioles Spread

• The Orioles are at +1.5 on the runline against the Yankees. The Orioles are -130 to cover the spread, and the Yankees are +108.

Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under

• A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Yankees-Orioles contest on Sept. 28, with the over available at -122 and the under at -100.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been chosen as favorites in 137 games this year and have walked away with the win 84 times (61.3%) in those games.
• This year New York has won 30 of 42 games when listed as at least -190 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Yankees have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 76 of 159 chances this season.
• In 159 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 76-83-0 against the spread.
• The Orioles have won 41 of the 92 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (44.6%).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, Baltimore has a 3-9 record (winning just 25% of its games).
• The Orioles have combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times this season for a 65-88-5 record against the over/under.
• The Orioles have put together a 75-83-0 record against the spread this season (covering 47.5% of the time).

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York in OBP (.458), slugging percentage (.691) and total hits (178) this season. He has a .331 batting average.
• Among qualified hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Judge will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .500 with a double, four home runs, seven walks and nine RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's batting .272 and slugging .481 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• He is 37th in batting average, 62nd in on-base percentage and 28th in slugging among qualified batters.
• Bellinger has picked up at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with six walks and an RBI.
• Trent Grisham has collected 116 base hits, an OBP of .349 and a slugging percentage of .467 this season.
• Jazz Chisholm is batting .243 with a .333 OBP and 80 RBI for New York this season.

Orioles Player Leaders

• Gunnar Henderson has an on-base percentage of .348, a slugging percentage of .434, and has 157 hits, all club-bests for the Orioles (while batting .274).
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average is 32nd, his on-base percentage ranks 41st, and he is 72nd in slugging.
• Henderson brings a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Jackson Holliday is hitting .242 with 21 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 56 walks. He's slugging .376 with an on-base percentage of .315.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 109th in batting average, 102nd in on-base percentage and 127th in slugging percentage.
• Jordan Westburg has 10 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .262.
• Adley Rutschman is batting .223 with 16 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.

Yankees vs Orioles Head to Head

• 9/27/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -240, Underdog Moneyline: +198)
• 9/26/2025: 8-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/21/2025: 7-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/20/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 9/19/2025: 4-2 BAL (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/18/2025: 7-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
• 6/22/2025: 4-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
• 6/21/2025: 9-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
• 6/20/2025: 5-3 BAL (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -310, Underdog Moneyline: +250)
• 4/30/2025: 5-4 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)

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