NBA

WNBA Betting Picks to Target for Tuesday 6/11/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream

Mystics +6.5 (-108)

It doesn't feel great to back the 0-12 Washington Mystics, but the Atlanta Dream are getting a few too many points for a team that's just 5-4 themselves.

While the Mystics are still winless a quarter of the way into the season, it's not like they haven't been competitive. Six their 12 losses have come by six or fewer points, and they're not even the worst team in terms of scoring differential. That's helped them cover the spread six times thus far, so we aren't going completely out on a limb backing them at +6.5 tonight.

Washington is among the bottom two teams in offensive rating, defensive rating, and total rebound rate, but that comes with two injury caveats.

First, center Shakira Austin has been limited to just six games. In just 21.2 minutes per game, Austin has averaged the second-most points (11.7) and most rebounds (6.8) on the team. Her -2.0 net rating leads all Mystics, while Washington's average margin of victory climbs from -12.2 to a more respectable -5.0 in games that she's played. She is questionable tonight -- although the team reportedly isn't optimistic.

It sounds more likely that Brittney Sykes will play for the first time since May 17th. Last year's leading scorer notched a double-double in a five-point opening night loss to the New York Liberty before injuring her ankle early the next game. Sykes had the second-highest usage rate (24.3%) and fourth-best net rating (+2.7) on the No. 7 seed Mystics last season, so her return cannot be overstated.

Meanwhile, the Dream are still without Jordin Canada and haven't really proven worthy of being favored by 6.5 points against anyone. They've only covered this line in two of their five wins.

The Dream only beat the Mystics by six two weeks back, and Washington had things tied up entering the final period in that one.

In general, Atlanta's been uninspiring to start the year. They have the second-worst offensive rating and third-worst rebound rate in the W -- both marks that suggest the Mystics can keep it close.

I may wait until closer to game time to lock this in once the injuries are settled, but as long as one of Austin or Sykes are active, I'm comfortable playing this at +6.5.

Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm

Storm -11.5 (-112)

The Los Angeles Sparks and Seattle Storm enter tonight fresh off drastically different Sunday outcomes.

The Sparks upset the Las Vegas Aces to notch their second straight win whereas Seattle suffered a 19-point beatdown in Minnesota -- their third loss to the Lynx this season.

But neither result seems to have impacted the line much as the Storm are still 11.5-point home favorites. I don't want to fall victim to recency bias here, so I'll happily grab the Storm -11.5 in a bounce back spot.

Prior to Sunday's loss, the Storm were rolling. They'd won six straight, four of which came by double-digits. That included an 18-point win over Phoenix and a 13-point road W over Vegas, so it wasn't like Seattle was just beating up on bad teams.

They enter tonight with a 7-1 record against teams not named the Minnesota Lynx. Even after their recent blowout, the Storm still boast the third-best defensive rating and fourth-best net rating in the W. They're top-five in total rebound rate, too, so I'm confident Ezi Magbegor (13.6 points; 9.1 rebounds) and Nneka Ogwumike (17.3 points; 7.6 rebounds) can hold their own against a Sparks team that's won the rebound battle for three straight games.

LA is a strong rebounding team, but they otherwise don't do much well. Granted, they did just drop 96 points on the defending champs, but it took a 40% effort from beyond the arc that saw seven different players make a three.

Even with that, the Sparks are just eighth in offensive and defensive rating. They've suffered four double-digit losses, including each of their last two roads games.

While their front court has played well, Magbegor and Ogwumike are as tough as they come down low. Even if they can hang with those two, the Sparks just don't have the perimeter defense to contain Seattle's guards. With Jewell Loyd coming off a pair of 25-point games and Skylar Diggins-Smith continuing to round into form, Seattle should run away with this one.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.