Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 11

Thunder vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBCS-BA and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) are favored (by 7.5 points) to extend a four-game home win streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (6-5) on Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The point total is 227.5 in the matchup.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (75.8%)

Thunder vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-5-0).
• The Warriors are 5-5-1 against the spread this season.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the total in six of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• In home games, Oklahoma City has a worse record against the spread (2-2-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (4-3-0).
• The Thunder have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (75%) than games on the road (42.9%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Golden State has a better winning percentage at home (.800, 4-0-1 record) than away (.167, 1-5-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Warriors' games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, two of five) compared to on the road (66.7%, four of six).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.2 points, 5.2 boards and 6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 13.4 points, 11.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 17.2 points, 4 rebounds and 4.1 assists, shooting 46.2% from the field and 35% from downtown, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 19.1 points, 8.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 54.9% from the floor and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.6 made treys.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 9.2 points, 3.8 boards and 2.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 2.5 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocked shots.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 18.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists. He is also draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• Stephen Curry's numbers on the season are 26.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.4% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.4 triples (first in NBA).
• Jonathan Kuminga averages 15.1 points, 7.2 boards and 3 assists. He is making 46.8% of his shots from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.
• The Warriors are receiving 12.2 points, 4.7 boards and 3.3 assists per game from Brandin Podziemski.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest. He is making 47.6% of his shots from the field and 45% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.8 triples.

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