Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 11

Thunder vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: NBCS-BA and FDSOK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-1) are 7.5-point favorites against Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (6-5) Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at Paycom Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on NBCS-BA and FDSOK. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.6%)

Thunder vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Thunder have gone 6-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have played 11 games, with five wins against the spread.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over six times.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 54.5% of the time (six out of 11 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has played worse when playing at home, covering two times in four home games, and four times in seven road games.
• The Thunder have exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (75%) than road tilts (42.9%).
• This year, Golden State is 4-0-1 at home against the spread (.800 winning percentage). On the road, it is 1-5-0 ATS (.167).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have gone over two of five times at home (40%), and four of six away (66.7%).

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.2 points, 5.2 boards and 6 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 13.4 points, 11.8 rebounds and 3.3 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 17.2 points, 4 rebounds and 4.1 assists, shooting 46.2% from the field and 35% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 19.1 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 9.2 points, 3.8 boards and 2.9 assists. At the other end, he averages 2.5 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocked shots.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 18.9 points, 5.5 boards and 4.6 assists. He is also draining 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• Curry averages 26.8 points, 3.6 boards and 4.3 assists. He is also draining 45.4% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from beyond the arc, with 4.4 treys per game (first in NBA).
• Per game, Jonathan Kuminga gets the Warriors 15.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3 assists, plus 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• The Warriors get 12.2 points per game from Brandin Podziemski, plus 4.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists.
• The Warriors receive 8.4 points per game from Draymond Green, plus 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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