Spurs vs. Timberwolves Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 4

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: Peacock

The San Antonio Spurs are massive 11.5-point favorites in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center on Monday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup has an over/under set at 218.5 points.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (70.5%)

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Spurs have registered a 43-34-4 record against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves are 38-44-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, 36 of the Spurs' games have gone over the point total.
• Timberwolves games this season have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals (45.1%).
• Against the spread, San Antonio has fared worse when playing at home, covering 19 times in 40 home games, and 24 times in 42 road games.
• The Spurs have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (45%) than away games (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results on the road (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• Timberwolves games have gone above the over/under less often at home (14 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this season.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 3.1 blocked shots (first in NBA).
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists, shooting 48.6% from the field and 33.2% from downtown, with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Stephon Castle is averaging 16.6 points, 7.4 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 21.1 points, 6.7 boards and 5 assists. He is also draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 31.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per game.
• Anthony Edwards' numbers on the season are 28.8 points, 5 boards and 3.7 assists per contest. He is sinking 48.9% of his shots from the field and 39.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 3.4 triples (third in NBA).
• Rudy Gobert's numbers on the season are 10.9 points, 11.5 boards and 1.7 assists per contest. He is making 68.2% of his shots from the field (first in league).
• The Timberwolves are receiving 13.6 points, 6.2 boards and 2.2 assists per game from Naz Reid.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 14.8 points, 4.2 boards and 2.7 assists. He is draining 51.5% of his shots from the field and 41.2% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.

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