Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 4:12 a.m.

MLB action on Saturday includes the Boston Red Sox facing the Washington Nationals.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (44-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-51)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: MASN and NESN

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-112) | WSH: (-104)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+134) | WSH: +1.5 (-162)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (Red Sox) - 5-6, 6.45 ERA vs Mitchell Parker (Nationals) - 5-8, 4.73 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Walker Buehler (5-6) to the mound, while Mitchell Parker (5-8) will answer the bell for the Nationals. Buehler's team is 6-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Buehler's team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2. When Parker starts, the Nationals are 9-6-0 against the spread. The Nationals are 8-4 in Parker's 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (52.8%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• Washington is a -104 underdog on the moneyline, while Boston is a -112 favorite on the road.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Nationals are at +1.5 on the runline against the Red Sox. The Nationals are -162 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are +134.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• The Red Sox-Nationals game on July 5 has been given an over/under of 9.5 runs. The over is set at -122 and the under at -100.

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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been chosen as favorites in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (50%) in those games.
• This season Boston has been victorious 26 times in 50 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 88 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 45-43-0 against the spread.
• The Nationals have won 32 of the 66 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (48.5%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, Washington has a record of 31-32 (49.2%).
• In the 84 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Nationals, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-38-1).
• The Nationals have a 45-39-0 record against the spread this season (covering 53.6% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has an OPS of .725, fueled by an OBP of .313 and a team-best slugging percentage of .412 this season. He has a .255 batting average.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, he is 83rd in batting average, 106th in on-base percentage, and 93rd in slugging.
• Duran will look for his sixth straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with 65 hits and an OBP of .326 this season. He's batting .257 and slugging .498.
• Among qualifying hitters, he is 78th in batting average, 80th in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging percentage.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has collected 73 base hits, an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .424 this season.
• Rafaela has recorded a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with five doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
• Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 83 hits, an OBP of .293 plus a slugging percentage of .404.
• Story has hit safely in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has racked up a team-best OBP (.395) and slugging percentage (.559), and leads the Nationals in hits (96, while batting .292).
• Including all qualifying players in MLB, his batting average places him 16th, his on-base percentage is fifth, and he is seventh in slugging.
• C.J. Abrams is hitting .287 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks. He's slugging .487 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• His batting average is 28th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 35th, and he is 33rd in slugging.
• Luis Garcia is batting .269 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .231 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
• 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 8/15/2023: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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