Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 3:11 p.m.

Saturday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Washington Nationals.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this game.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (44-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-51)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: MASN and NESN

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-118) | WSH: (-100)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+122) | WSH: +1.5 (-146)
• Total: 10 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (Red Sox) - 5-6, 6.45 ERA vs Mitchell Parker (Nationals) - 5-8, 4.73 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Walker Buehler (5-6, 6.45 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Mitchell Parker (5-8, 4.73 ERA). Buehler and his team have a record of 6-8-0 against the spread when he starts. Buehler's team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2. The Nationals have a 9-6-0 ATS record in Parker's 15 starts with a set spread. The Nationals are 8-4 in Parker's 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (52.9%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• Washington is the underdog, -100 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -118 favorite despite being on the road.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Nationals are hosting the Red Sox, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Nationals are +122 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are -146.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• The over/under for the Red Sox versus Nationals game on July 5 has been set at 10, with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds on the under.

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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 27, or 50%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has come away with a win 22 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 88 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 45-43-0 in 88 games with a line this season.
• The Nationals have won 48.5% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (32-34).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, Washington has a 28-30 record (winning 48.3% of its games).
• The Nationals have played in 84 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-38-1).
• The Nationals have covered 53.6% of their games this season, going 45-39-0 ATS.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran leads Boston in slugging percentage (.412) thanks to 37 extra-base hits. He has a .255 batting average and an on-base percentage of .313.
• Among the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 83rd, his on-base percentage ranks 106th, and he is 93rd in slugging.
• Duran will look for his sixth straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in OBP (.326) and total hits (65) this season. He's batting .257 while slugging .498.
• He is 78th in batting average, 80th in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging in the majors.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .253 with a .424 slugging percentage and 34 RBI this year.
• Rafaela enters this matchup with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with five doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
• Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 83 hits, an OBP of .293 plus a slugging percentage of .404.
• Story brings a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .410 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and 13 RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has racked up a team-best OBP (.395) and slugging percentage (.559), and leads the Nationals in hits (96, while batting .292).
• Including all qualifying players in MLB, his batting average places him 16th, his on-base percentage is fifth, and he is seventh in slugging.
• C.J. Abrams is batting .287 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks. He's slugging .487 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• He is currently 28th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 33rd in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .269 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .231.

Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
• 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 8/15/2023: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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