Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 7

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
MLB action on Sunday includes the Boston Red Sox playing the Arizona Diamondbacks.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (78-65) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (72-71)
- Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Chase Field -- Phoenix, Arizona
- Coverage: ARID and NESN
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-120) | ARI: (+102)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+130) | ARI: +1.5 (-156)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Brayan Bello (Red Sox) - 11-6, 3.07 ERA vs Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks) - 7-3, 3.57 ERA
The probable starters are Brayan Bello (11-6) for the Red Sox and Ryne Nelson (7-3) for the Diamondbacks. When Bello starts, his team is 15-9-0 against the spread this season. Bello's team is 11-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Diamondbacks have gone 11-8-0 against the spread when Nelson starts. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 in Nelson's eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Diamondbacks win (54.2%)
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks reveal Boston as the favorite (-120) and Arizona as the underdog (+102) despite being the home team.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Spread
- The Red Sox are favored by 1.5 runs on the road against the Diamondbacks. The Red Sox are +130 to cover the spread, while the Diamondbacks are -156.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Over/Under
- An over/under of 9 has been set for Red Sox-Diamondbacks on Sept. 7, with the over being -112 and the under -108.
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Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have come away with 52 wins in the 90 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This season Boston has been victorious 36 times in 64 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over in 68 of their 142 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox are 76-66-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline 57 total times this season. They've finished 28-29 in those games.
- Arizona is 23-24 (winning 48.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- The Diamondbacks have played in 139 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-65-6).
- The Diamondbacks have a 69-70-0 record ATS this season.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran has 142 hits and an OBP of .337 to go with a slugging percentage of .446. All three of those stats are tops among Boston hitters this season. He has a .260 batting average, as well.
- Among all qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 77th, his on-base percentage ranks 61st, and he is 69th in slugging.
- Trevor Story is hitting .259 with 24 doubles, 23 home runs and 30 walks, while slugging .433 with an on-base percentage of .305.
- Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 80th, his on-base percentage 123rd, and his slugging percentage 78th.
- Story has picked up a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has 118 hits this season and has a slash line of .245/.288/.417.
- Alex Bregman has been key for Boston with 103 hits, an OBP of .362 plus a slugging percentage of .482.
Diamondbacks Player Leaders
- Geraldo Perdomo has accumulated a slugging percentage of .450, a team-high for the Diamondbacks. He's batting .286 with an on-base percentage of .384.
- Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 18th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 60th in slugging percentage.
- Corbin Carroll's 130 hits lead his team. He has a batting average of .259 while slugging .560 with an on-base percentage of .335.
- Including all qualified hitters, he is 80th in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
- Ketel Marte has racked up an on-base percentage of .389, a team-high for the Diamondbacks.
- Gabriel Moreno has 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks while hitting .273.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Head to Head
- 9/6/2025: 5-1 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 9/5/2025: 10-5 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 8/25/2024: 7-5 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 8/24/2024: 4-1 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 8/23/2024: 12-2 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 5/28/2023: 4-2 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 5/27/2023: 2-1 BOS (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 5/26/2023: 7-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
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