Red Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 2

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The MLB's Saturday slate includes the Boston Red Sox facing the Houston Astros.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game.

Red Sox vs Astros Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (13-19) vs. Houston Astros (12-21)
• Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and SCHN

Red Sox vs Astros Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-118) | HOU: (+100)
• Spread: BOS: +1.5 (-194) | HOU: -1.5 (+160)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Astros Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Connelly Early (Red Sox) - 2-1, 2.84 ERA vs Spencer Arrighetti (Astros) - 3-0, 2.00 ERA

The Red Sox will look to Connelly Early (2-1) versus the Astros and Spencer Arrighetti (3-0). When Early starts, his team is 2-4-0 against the spread this season. Early's team has a record of 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. In each of Arrighetti's three starts that had a set spread, the Astros covered. The Astros were the underdog on the moneyline for two Arrighetti starts this season -- they won both.

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (56.6%)

Red Sox vs Astros Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Astros-Red Sox, Houston is the underdog at +100, and Boston is -118 playing at home.

Red Sox vs Astros Spread

• The Astros are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Red Sox. The Astros are +160 to cover, while the Red Sox are -194 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Red Sox vs Astros Over/Under

• The over/under for Red Sox-Astros on May 2 is 9. The over is -114, and the under is -106.

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Red Sox vs Astros Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Boston has come away with a win 10 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 16 of their 32 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 11-21-0 against the spread in their 32 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Astros have compiled a 6-10 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.5% of those games).
• Houston is 6-10 (winning just 37.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
• The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 33 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 23 of those games (23-10-0).
• The Astros have collected a 12-21-0 record ATS this season (covering just 36.4% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with a slugging percentage of .466, fueled by 11 extra-base hits. He has a .297 batting average and an on-base percentage of .362.
• Among the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 29th, his on-base percentage ranks 50th, and he is 48th in slugging.
• Willson Contreras leads Boston with 29 hits and an OBP of .379 this season. He's batting .264 and slugging .482.
• He is 63rd in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage and 38th in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Contreras takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .243 with a double, three home runs, three walks and eight RBIs.
• Caleb Durbin has 18 hits this season and has a slash line of .176/.263/.265.
• Durbin brings a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a walk and an RBI.
• Jarren Duran is batting .173 with a .232 OBP and 14 RBI for Boston this season.

Astros Player Leaders

• Yordan Alvarez has accumulated an on-base percentage of .446, a slugging percentage of .707, and has 42 hits, all club-highs for the Astros (while batting .341).
• He is third in batting average, first in on-base percentage and second in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Christian Walker has nine doubles, seven home runs and 14 walks while batting .294. He's slugging .546 with an on-base percentage of .370.
• Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average puts him 33rd, his on-base percentage is 39th, and he is 18th in slugging.
• Carlos Correa has eight doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while hitting .288.
• Jose Altuve is batting .250 with seven doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.

Red Sox vs Astros Head to Head

• 5/1/2026: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 4/1/2026: 6-4 HOU (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 3/31/2026: 9-2 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 3/30/2026: 8-1 HOU (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 8/13/2025: 4-1 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/12/2025: 14-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/11/2025: 7-6 HOU (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 8/3/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/2/2025: 7-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/1/2025: 2-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)

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