Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 6:12 a.m.

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Thursday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital information about this matchup.

Phillies vs Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (86-60) vs. New York Mets (76-70)
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: FOX

Phillies vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-142) | NYM: (+120)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+136) | NYM: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Phillies vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 13-6, 4.01 ERA vs David Peterson (Mets) - 9-5, 3.72 ERA

The Phillies will look to Jesus Luzardo (13-6) versus the Mets and David Peterson (9-5). Luzardo and his team are 13-15-0 ATS this season when he starts. Luzardo's team has been victorious in 60.9% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-9. When Peterson starts, the Mets are 8-16-0 against the spread. The Mets have a 1-4 record in Peterson's five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (54.7%)

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

• New York is the underdog, +120 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -142 favorite at home.

Phillies vs Mets Spread

• The Phillies are hosting the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Phillies are +136 to cover the runline, with the Mets being -164.

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for the Phillies versus Mets game on Sept. 11 has been set at 8.5, with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under.

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Phillies vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been favorites in 111 games this season and have come away with the win 72 times (64.9%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 54-24 when favored by -142 or more this year.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over in 55 of their 139 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies are 72-67-0 against the spread in their 139 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Mets have won 38.5% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (15-24).
• New York has a 2-8 record (winning only 20% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• In the 139 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-67-8).
• The Mets have covered 46.8% of their games this season, going 65-74-0 ATS.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in OBP (.368) and total hits (131) this season. He's batting .241 batting average while slugging .562.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, he is 110th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Schwarber will look for his third straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .263 with 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks, while slugging .496 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• He ranks 62nd in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Harper has picked up at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 114 hits this season and has a slash line of .254/.327/.379.
• Stott heads into this game with three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has 16 home runs, 65 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.
• Castellanos has hit safely in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has put up an on-base percentage of .401 and has 136 hits, both team-best figures for the Mets. He's batting .264 and slugging .530.
• Including all qualified players, he is 60th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is second and he is 13th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor is slugging .452 to pace his team. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .337.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 62nd, his on-base percentage is 54th, and he is 57th in slugging.
• Pete Alonso has 37 doubles, a triple, 33 home runs and 56 walks while batting .269.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .261 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks.

Phillies vs Mets Head to Head

• 9/10/2025: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 9/9/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/8/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/27/2025: 6-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/26/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/25/2025: 13-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 6/22/2025: 7-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2025: 11-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/20/2025: 10-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/23/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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