Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 4

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

The Monday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Marlins vs Phillies Game Info

• Miami Marlins (16-18) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (14-20)
• Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and NBCS-PH

Marlins vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIA: (-110) | PHI: (-106)
• Spread: MIA: +1.5 (-188) | PHI: -1.5 (+155)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Marlins vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Janson Junk (Marlins) - 2-2, 3.00 ERA vs Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 1-3, 6.03 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Marlins will send Janson Junk (2-2) to the mound, while Aaron Nola (1-3) will take the ball for the Phillies. Junk's team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts. When Junk starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1. When Nola starts, the Phillies are 1-5-0 against the spread. The Phillies were the moneyline underdog for two Nola starts this season -- they lost both.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (56%)

Marlins vs Phillies Moneyline

• Miami is the favorite, -110 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -106 underdog on the road.

Marlins vs Phillies Spread

• The Phillies are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Marlins. The Phillies are +155 to cover, while the Marlins are -188 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under

• A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Marlins-Phillies game on May 4, with the over available at -110 and the under at -110.

Bet on Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on FanDuel today!

Marlins vs Phillies Betting Trends

• The Marlins have been favorites in 17 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (70.6%) in those contests.
• Miami has a record of 12-5 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -110 or more on the moneyline.
• The Marlins and their opponents have gone over in 19 of their 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread record of 15-18-0 in 33 games with a line this season.
• The Phillies have put together a 1-8 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 11.1% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer, Philadelphia has gone 1-8 (11.1%).
• The Phillies have played in 34 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-15-2).
• The Phillies have gone 7-27-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Liam Hicks leads Miami with 30 hits, batting .309 this season with 10 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .366 and a slugging percentage of .557.
• Among all qualified batters in baseball, he ranks 20th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Xavier Edwards has 42 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .424. He's batting .336 and slugging .472.
• His batting average is fourth among qualified players, his on-base percentage fifth, and his slugging percentage 44th.
• Edwards heads into this game looking to extend his five-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
• Otto Lopez has hit three homers with a team-high .500 SLG this season.
• Lopez has recorded at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .386 with three doubles and four RBIs.
• Jakob Marsee has been key for Miami with 22 hits, an OBP of .300 plus a slugging percentage of .254.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper is batting .256 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .352.
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 76th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 40th in slugging percentage.
• Kyle Schwarber's 27 hits and .368 on-base percentage both pace his team. He has a batting average of .220 while slugging .553.
• He is 133rd in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging percentage in the majors.
• Brandon Marsh has a .491 slugging percentage, which paces the Phillies.
• Trea Turner's .375 slugging percentage leads his team.

Marlins vs Phillies Head to Head

• 5/3/2026: 7-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 5/2/2026: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/1/2026: 6-5 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/25/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/24/2025: 11-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 9/23/2025: 6-5 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 9/7/2025: 5-4 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/6/2025: 4-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/5/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 6/19/2025: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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