NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: Can Christian McCaffrey Repeat?

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: Can Christian McCaffrey Repeat?

While the NFL Most Valuable Player tends to go to a quarterback, the Offensive Player of the Year can go to a few different positions. In fact, a QB hasn't won the award since 2018.

There isn't a QB listed among the favorites, according to the NFL award odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

So let's take a look at the players who are among the favorites to win the award this season.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Tyreek Hill+700
CeeDee Lamb+900
Christian McCaffrey+900
Justin Jefferson+1000

Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +700

It seemed likely that Tyreek Hill was going to win this award early in the 2023 season. He started off the season with over 150 yards in four of the first six games while also scoring six touchdowns.

This was when the Miami Dolphins' looked unstoppable, and that it could be a historic unit. They famously scored 70 points against the Denver Broncos in Week 3. This would have given the voters even more of a reason to vote for Hill just to acknowledge a fantastic offense.

Hill fell off down the stretch -- as did his team. He failed to record over 100 yards in any of his last four games and also missed a game due to injury.

The goal for Hill was 2,000 yards in 2023, which likely would have gotten him this award. He finished with 1,799, which led the league despite missing a game. He finished second in the voting for OPOY last season, receiving seven first-place votes.

It's interesting that Hill has the best odds to win the award in 2024. This was the most yards he ever had in a season, and he's entering his age-30 season. It seems unlikely that he will improve on this season at this age.

I'd likely want to bet money on someone getting longer odds than Hill given his age.

CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +900

The other receiver that had a chance to win the award last season was CeeDee Lamb.

CeeDee answered the critics who said he wasn't a true number-one wideout by posting his best season. He demolished his career high in receptions, yards and touchdowns in 2023. This made him a first team All-Pro for the first time in his career.

Lamb has improved on all three of those stats in each of his four seasons in the NFL. It will likely be difficult for him to exceed 135 catches and 1,749 yards, but if he is around there, he will be in the conversation for the number-one receiver in the NFL again.

He finished third in this award last season with those stats. The Dallas Cowboys were fourth in the NFL in pass rate over expectation. At the moment, they haven't replaced Tony Pollard at running back, so it seems likely that they will continue to be a pass-heavy offense.

In ESPN's open score metric, Lamb ranked second in the NFL. He's one of the best receivers in the league and could easily be in one of the top three in the voting for this award again.

Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +900

The winner of the award last season was Christian McCaffrey. He arguably could have won the award in 2019, when he had over 1,000 yards rushing and receiving and racked up 116 catches and 19 touchdowns.

In 2023, he didn't quite rack up the 2,392 scrimmage yards that he did in that 2019 season. He did score 21 touchdowns and was a part of the best team in the NFC, the San Francisco 49ers.

McCaffrey in Kyle Shanahan's system was everything we had hoped for. Shanahan's scheme is the same one his father used, and both have made running backs productive for years. They did it with backs that had far less talent than McCaffrey.

CMC led all backs in missed tackles forced, according to PFF. When you get a player this good who gets this kind of workload in this friendly of a system, the sky's the limit.

I see no reason why McCaffrey wouldn't be among the leaders for this award again next season -- barring injury of course.

Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +1000

Justin Jefferson took home this trophy in 2022 and is still arguably the best receiver in the NFL.

He was talking about 2,000 yards before Tyreek Hill had a chance to get to that mark last season. Jefferson only ended up getting 1,809 in 2022 and played one more game than Hill.

An injury derailed JJ's season last year. He only played in 10 games but incredibly still exceeded 1,000 yards. However, there is an elephant in the room regarding the Minnesota Vikings.

That elephant is the fact that they lost Kirk Cousins as their starting QB. The only move they've made so far is bringing in Sam Darnold from free agency, but that doesn't inspire a ton of confidence. Even if they draft a QB, there hasn't been a ton of elite production from rookie QBs in recent seasons.

However, the Vikings may be a bit different. They led the NFL in passing yards as a team in 2023 despite four different QBs starting throughout the season. They also didn't benefit from having Jefferson in the lineup in every game.

Coach Kevin O'Connell's system could vault Jefferson's production enough to get him to be considered for the award again this season. If you like Jefferson, it could be wise to bet him now before the Vikings add a different QB in the draft and the hype shortens his odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.