Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 28

Odds updated as of 2:15 p.m.

In MLB action on Sunday, the New York Mets take on the Miami Marlins.

All the information you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Mets vs Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets (83-78) vs. Miami Marlins (78-83)
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSFL and SNY

Mets vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-138) | MIA: (+118)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+125) | MIA: +1.5 (-150)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Mets vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sean Manaea (Mets) - 2-4, 5.80 ERA vs Edward Cabrera (Marlins) - 7-7, 3.66 ERA

The Mets will give the ball to Sean Manaea (2-4, 5.80 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 3 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Edward Cabrera (7-7, 3.66 ERA). Manaea and his team have a record of 3-8-0 against the spread when he starts. Manaea's team has won 25% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-6). The Marlins have gone 17-8-0 ATS in Cabrera's 25 starts with a set spread. The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 20 of Cabrera's starts this season, and they went 11-9 in those games.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (53.5%)

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Mets-Marlins, New York is the favorite at -138, and Miami is +118 playing at home.

Mets vs Marlins Spread

• The Mets are 1.5-run road favorites on the runline against the Marlins. The Mets are +125 to cover, and the Marlins are -150.

Mets vs Marlins Over/Under

• Mets versus Marlins, on Sept. 28, has an over/under of 8, with the over being -115 and the under -105.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Trends

• The Mets have been favorites in 110 games this season and have come away with the win 63 times (57.3%) in those contests.
• This year New York has won 38 of 71 games when listed as at least -138 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Mets have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 154 chances this season.
• The Mets are 72-82-0 against the spread in their 154 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Marlins have put together a 61-66 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer, Miami has a 41-46 record (winning 47.1% of its games).
• The Marlins have played in 156 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-78-1).
• The Marlins have covered 57.7% of their games this season, going 90-66-0 ATS.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has 152 hits and an OBP of .396, both of which are best among New York hitters this season. He has a .265 batting average and a slugging percentage of .528.
• He ranks 47th in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging among qualifying hitters in the majors.
• Francisco Lindor has hit 31 homers this season while driving in 86 runs. He's batting .267 this season and slugging .465 with an on-base percentage of .344.
• He ranks 44th in batting average, 47th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging in the major leagues.
• Lindor brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with three home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has 169 hits this season and has a slash line of .273/.348/.526.
• Alonso has recorded at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .238 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 home runs, 92 RBI and a batting average of .262 this season.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Otto Lopez is batting .248 with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 44 walks. He's slugging .370 with an on-base percentage of .307.
• Including all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average places him 95th, his on-base percentage is 113th, and he is 133rd in slugging.
• Xavier Edwards has a .342 OBP while slugging .353. Both are team-highs. He has a batting average of .282.
• His batting average ranks 22nd among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 54th, and he is 141st in slugging.
• Agustin Ramirez leads the Marlins with 123 hits.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .250 with 27 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks.

Mets vs Marlins Head to Head

• 9/27/2025: 5-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/26/2025: 6-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/31/2025: 5-1 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 8/30/2025: 11-8 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 8/29/2025: 19-9 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 8/28/2025: 7-4 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -260, Underdog Moneyline: +215)
• 4/9/2025: 5-0 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 4/8/2025: 10-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)
• 4/7/2025: 2-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -275, Underdog Moneyline: +225)
• 4/2/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)

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