Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 28

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.
The Atlanta Braves will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Sunday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves vs Pirates Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (75-86) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (71-90)
- Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
- Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
- Coverage: FDSSO and SportsNet PT
Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-200) | PIT: (+168)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+106) | PIT: +1.5 (-128)
- Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)
Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton (Braves) - 9-11, 5.89 ERA vs Johan Oviedo (Pirates) - 2-0, 3.57 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Charlie Morton (9-11) to the mound, while Johan Oviedo (2-0) will answer the bell for the Pirates. Morton and his team have a record of 8-17-0 against the spread when he starts. When Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-10. When Oviedo starts, the Pirates are 6-2-0 against the spread. The Pirates have a 4-4 record in Oviedo's eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (60.1%)
Braves vs Pirates Moneyline
- Atlanta is a -200 favorite on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is a +168 underdog on the road.
Braves vs Pirates Spread
- The Braves are hosting the Pirates and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Braves are +106 to cover the runline, with the Pirates being -128.
Braves vs Pirates Over/Under
- An over/under of 7.5 has been set for Braves-Pirates on Sept. 28, with the over being -106 and the under -114.
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Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Braves have won in 52, or 52%, of the 100 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This year Atlanta has won 12 of 17 games when listed as at least -200 on the moneyline.
- Contests with the Braves have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 69 of 155 chances this season.
- The Braves have posted a record of 69-86-0 against the spread this season.
- The Pirates have gone 45-61 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.5% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +168 or longer, Pittsburgh has a 6-10 record (winning just 37.5% of its games).
- The Pirates have played in 152 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 58 times (58-87-7).
- The Pirates have an 83-69-0 record ATS this season.
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 168 hits and an OBP of .364, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .481. He's batting .271.
- Among the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 16th, and he is 27th in slugging.
- Michael Harris II is batting .248 with 26 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 16 walks, while slugging .410 with an on-base percentage of .268.
- He is 95th in batting average, 147th in on-base percentage and 92nd in slugging among qualified hitters.
- Harris takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
- Drake Baldwin is batting .277 with a .474 slugging percentage and 80 RBI this year.
- Baldwin heads into this game with 10 games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .395 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBIs.
- Marcell Ozuna has 21 home runs, 68 RBI and a batting average of .233 this season.
- Ozuna has hit safely in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Bryan Reynolds has accumulated a slugging percentage of .399 and has 143 hits, both team-high marks for the Pirates. He's batting .244 and with an on-base percentage of .317.
- Including all qualified hitters in the majors, he is 104th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 105th in slugging percentage.
- Reynolds hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double and a walk.
- Spencer Horwitz is batting .273 with 26 doubles, 11 home runs and 44 walks. He's slugging .435 with an on-base percentage of .354.
- Andrew McCutchen has accumulated a team-best .333 on-base percentage.
- Oneil Cruz is batting .200 with 18 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 64 walks.
Braves vs Pirates Head to Head
- 9/27/2025: 3-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 9/26/2025: 9-3 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 5/11/2025: 4-3 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -240, Underdog Moneyline: +198)
- 5/10/2025: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
- 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
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