Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 27

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
The New York Mets are among the MLB squads in action on Saturday, up against the Miami Marlins.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game.
Mets vs Marlins Game Info
- New York Mets (82-78) vs. Miami Marlins (78-82)
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
- Coverage: FDSFL and SNY
Mets vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-124) | MIA: (+106)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+132) | MIA: +1.5 (-160)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)
Mets vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Clay Holmes (Mets) - 11-8, 3.66 ERA vs Eury Pérez (Marlins) - 7-5, 4.20 ERA
The probable starters are Clay Holmes (11-8) for the Mets and Eury Perez (7-5) for the Marlins. Holmes and his team are 12-15-0 ATS this season when he starts. Holmes' team has been victorious in 61.9% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 13-8. When Perez starts, the Marlins are 10-7-0 against the spread. The Marlins have a 7-3 record in Pérez's 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (51.1%)
Mets vs Marlins Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Mets vs. Marlins reveal New York as the favorite (-124) and Miami as the underdog (+106) despite being the home team.
Mets vs Marlins Spread
- The Mets are favored by 1.5 runs on the road versus the Marlins. The Mets are +132 to cover the spread, while the Marlins are -160.
Mets vs Marlins Over/Under
- A combined run total of 8.5 has been set for Mets-Marlins on Sept. 27, with the over at -112 and the under at -108.
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Mets vs Marlins Betting Trends
- The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 109 games this year and have walked away with the win 62 times (56.9%) in those games.
- New York has a record of 49-43 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 153 opportunities.
- The Mets are 71-82-0 against the spread in their 153 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Marlins have won 48.4% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (61-65).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer, Miami has a 49-52 record (winning 48.5% of its games).
- The Marlins have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times this season for a 77-77-1 record against the over/under.
- The Marlins have a 90-65-0 record against the spread this season (covering 58.1% of the time).
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto leads New York with 152 hits and an OBP of .396 this season. He has a .266 batting average and a slugging percentage of .531.
- Among qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 47th, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is 11th in slugging.
- Francisco Lindor leads New York in slugging percentage (.466) thanks to 65 extra-base hits. He's batting .267 with an on-base percentage of .343.
- He is 45th in batting average, 52nd in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging in MLB.
- Lindor brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with four home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
- Pete Alonso is batting .271 with a .519 slugging percentage and 124 RBI this year.
- Alonso takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles and two RBIs.
- Brandon Nimmo is batting .263 with a .324 OBP and 92 RBI for New York this season.
Marlins Player Leaders
- Otto Lopez has 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 44 walks while batting .250. He's slugging .372 with an on-base percentage of .308.
- Including all the qualified hitters in MLB, he is 94th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 132nd in slugging percentage.
- Xavier Edwards has a .343 on-base percentage while slugging .353. Both pace his team. He has a batting average of .283.
- Including all qualified hitters, he is 21st in batting average, 52nd in on-base percentage and 142nd in slugging percentage.
- Agustin Ramirez has collected 123 hits, a team-best for the Marlins.
- Eric Wagaman is batting .251 with 27 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks.
Mets vs Marlins Head to Head
- 9/26/2025: 6-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/31/2025: 5-1 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 8/30/2025: 11-8 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 8/29/2025: 19-9 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 8/28/2025: 7-4 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -260, Underdog Moneyline: +215)
- 4/9/2025: 5-0 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
- 4/8/2025: 10-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)
- 4/7/2025: 2-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -275, Underdog Moneyline: +225)
- 4/2/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
- 4/1/2025: 4-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
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