Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.

The New York Mets will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Sunday.

All the info you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Mets vs Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets (25-15) vs. Chicago Cubs (23-17)
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 12:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Roku

Mets vs Cubs Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-126) | CHC: (+108)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+160) | CHC: +1.5 (-194)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-100) | Under: (-122)

Mets vs Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Griffin Canning (Mets) - 5-1, 2.50 ERA vs Matthew Boyd (Cubs) - 3-2, 2.75 ERA

The Mets will give the ball to Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.50 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Cubs will turn to Matthew Boyd (3-2, 2.75 ERA). Canning's team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Canning has started four games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them. The Cubs have gone 2-5-0 ATS in Boyd's seven starts with a set spread. The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for two Boyd starts this season -- they lost both.

Mets vs Cubs Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (51.4%)

Mets vs Cubs Moneyline

• Chicago is a +108 underdog on the moneyline, while New York is a -126 favorite at home.

Mets vs Cubs Spread

• The Mets are hosting the Cubs and are favored by 1.5 runs (+160 to cover) on the runline. Chicago is -194 to cover.

Mets vs Cubs Over/Under

• Mets versus Cubs on May 11 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -100 and the under set at -122.

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Mets vs Cubs Betting Trends

• The Mets have been favorites in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (67.9%) in those contests.
• This season New York has come away with a win 17 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 on the moneyline.
• The Mets' games have gone over the total in 16 of their 39 opportunities.
• In 39 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 20-19-0 against the spread.
• The Cubs have compiled a 9-9 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
• Chicago is 4-6 (winning 40% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
• The Cubs have played in 38 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 25 times (25-12-1).
• The Cubs are 20-18-0 ATS this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso leads New York in OBP (.438), slugging percentage (.616) and total hits (47) this season. He has a .322 batting average.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 10th, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is third in slugging.
• Alonso has recorded a base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Juan Soto has nine doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks. He's batting .259 and slugging .483 with an on-base percentage of .380.
• Among all qualified, he is 73rd in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and 34th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor has an OPS of .855, fueled by an OBP of .365 and a team-best slugging percentage of .491 this season.
• Lindor takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has seven home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .215 this season.
• Nimmo takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a double and three walks.

Cubs Player Leaders

• Kyle Tucker has accumulated 43 hits with a .387 on-base percentage and a .545 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Cubs. He's batting .276.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 47th, his on-base percentage ranks 19th, and he is 12th in slugging.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is batting .265 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and eight walks. He's slugging .523 with an on-base percentage of .305.
• Including all qualified players, he ranks 61st in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging percentage.
• Ian Happ has racked up a slugging percentage of .381, a team-best for the Cubs.
• Carson Kelly has two doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks while batting .333.

Mets vs Cubs Head to Head

• 5/10/2025: 6-5 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/9/2025: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 6/23/2024: 5-2 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/22/2024: 8-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 11.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2024: 11-1 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 5/2/2024: 7-6 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/1/2024: 1-0 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/30/2024: 4-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/29/2024: 3-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 8/9/2023: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)

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