Kentucky vs Michigan State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 18

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-1) aim to extend a three-game home winning streak when they host the Michigan State Spartans (3-0) on November 18, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Check out the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Tuesday's Kentucky-Michigan State spread (Kentucky -3.5) or total (152.5 points).

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Kentucky vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky covered 18 times in 36 games with a spread last season.
• Michigan State covered 24 times in 37 chances against the spread last year.
• Michigan State covered the spread when it was a 3.5-point underdog or more 60% of the time. That's more often than Kentucky covered as a favorite by 3.5 or more (55.6%).
• The Wildcats covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 10 times in 18 opportunities when playing at home, and they covered four times in 10 opportunities on the road.
• The Spartans were better against the spread away (7-2-0) than at home (10-6-0) last year.

Kentucky vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky won 16 of the 22 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (72.7%).
• The Wildcats finished 14-2 last year (winning 87.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -178 or shorter.
• Michigan State was underdogs in eight games last season and won five (62.5%) of those contests.
• The Spartans had a record of 2-2 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +146 on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has an implied moneyline win probability of 64.0% in this contest.

Kentucky vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Kentucky was seventh-best in the nation on offense (84.4 points scored per game) and ranked 315th on defense (77.2 points allowed).
• Kentucky grabbed 34.1 rebounds per game and gave up 32.1 boards last season, ranking 63rd and 239th, respectively, in the country.
• Last season Kentucky was 17th-best in college basketball in assists with 16.9 per game.
• Last year, Kentucky was 108th in the country in turnovers committed (10.4 per game) and 312th in turnovers forced (9.9).
• Michigan State posted 77.7 points per game (78th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while giving up 67.1 points per contest (44th-ranked).
• Michigan State was top-25 last season in rebounding, ranking 10th-best in college basketball with 36.7 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 28th with 28.2 rebounds allowed per contest.
• Michigan State was one of the top teams in college basketball in terms of assists, as it collected 16.5 per game (24th-best in college basketball).
• Last season Michigan State committed 10.7 turnovers per game (135th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 10.4 turnovers per contest (265th-ranked).

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