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Illinois vs Texas Tech College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 11

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Illinois vs Texas Tech College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 11

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) battle the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) at State Farm Center on November 11, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Texas Tech Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Texas Tech Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (61.6%)

Check out the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Tuesday's Illinois-Texas Tech spread (Illinois -3.5) or total (168.5 points).

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Illinois vs. Texas Tech: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Illinois put together a 17-17-0 ATS record last year.
  • Texas Tech went 19-18-0 ATS last year.
  • Illinois (14-11) covered a lower percentage of games when it was favored by 3.5 points or more last season (56%) than Texas Tech (3-2) did as a 3.5+-point underdog (60%).
  • The Fighting Illini covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games last season. They covered 10 times in 17 opportunities at home, and they covered five times in 10 opportunities in road games.
  • Last year, the Red Raiders were 10-8-0 at home against the spread (.556 winning percentage). Away, they were 7-3-0 ATS (.700).

Illinois vs. Texas Tech: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Illinois put together a 16-7 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 69.6% of those games).
  • In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -184 or shorter, the Fighting Illini went 14-5 (73.7%).
  • Texas Tech was an underdog six times last season and won three of those games.
  • The Red Raiders played as an underdog of +152 or more twice last season and split those games.
  • Illinois has a 64.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Illinois vs. Texas Tech Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Offensively, Illinois was the ninth-best squad in the nation (83.6 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was 263rd (74.8 points conceded per game).
  • Illinois was the best squad in the nation in rebounds per game (39.7) and ranked 104th in rebounds conceded (30.1) last year.
  • Illinois was 83rd in the nation in assists (14.9 per game) last season.
  • In terms of turnovers, Illinois was 215th in college basketball in committing them (11.4 per game) last season. It was second-worst in forcing them (8.5 per game).
  • With 80.9 points per game on offense, Texas Tech ranked 28th in college basketball last season. At the other end, it allowed 68.5 points per contest, which ranked 70th in college basketball.
  • Texas Tech pulled down 33.5 rebounds per game (84th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 29.9 rebounds per contest (94th-ranked).
  • Texas Tech ranked 34th in the country with 16.1 dimes per contest.
  • Texas Tech ranked 12th-best in the country by averaging just 9.1 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranked 197th in college basketball (11.1 per contest).

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