Florida vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 16

The Miami Hurricanes (3-0) hope to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Florida Gators (2-1) on November 16, 2025 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. The contest airs on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Miami (FL) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Jacksonville, Florida
• Arena: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Florida vs. Miami (FL) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (91%)

Before you place a wager on Florida-Miami (FL) outing (in which Florida is a 10.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 169.5 points), here are some betting trends and insights for Sunday's game.

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Florida vs. Miami (FL): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida compiled a 28-12-0 record against the spread last season.
• Miami (FL) went 10-21-0 ATS last season.
• As a 10.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Miami (FL) was 3-4 against the spread compared to the 10-7 ATS record Florida posted as a 10.5-point favorite.
• In home games last season, the Gators sported a better record against the spread (11-5-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (6-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Hurricanes had a lower winning percentage at home (.294, 5-12-0 record) than on the road (.400, 4-6-0).

Florida vs. Miami (FL): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida won 93.9% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (31-2).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -549 or shorter, the Gators had a 14-1 record (winning 93.3% of their games).
• Miami (FL) won two, or 11.8%, of the 17 games it played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, the Hurricanes were at least a +400 underdog on the moneyline seven times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Florida an 84.6% chance to win.

Florida vs. Miami (FL) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Florida was fifth-best in the country on offense (84.8 points scored per game) and ranked 91st defensively (69.6 points allowed).
• On the boards, Florida was second-best in the country in rebounds (39 per game) last year. It was 129th in rebounds conceded (30.4 per game).
• Florida was 61st in the country in assists (15.4 per game) last year.
• Florida committed 10.6 turnovers per game last year and forced 11.1 per game, ranking 129th and 197th, respectively, in the country.
• Miami (FL) was ranked 167th in college basketball offensively last year with 74 points per game, while defensively it was eighth-worst (80.6 points allowed per game).
• Miami (FL) pulled down 29.2 boards per game (325th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.5 rebounds per contest (135th-ranked).
• Miami (FL) dished out 12.9 assists per game, which ranked them 227th in the nation.
• Miami (FL) ranked 87th in the nation with 10.2 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, it ranked 312th with 9.9 forced turnovers per game.

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