Duke vs Virginia College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (31-2, 17-1 ACC) will look to claim the ACC championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament when they face off with the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers (29-4, 15-3 ACC) on Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Virginia Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

Duke vs. Virginia Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (64.4%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Duke-Virginia spread (Duke -6.5) or total (139.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Duke vs. Virginia: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has put together an 18-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Virginia has compiled a 17-16-0 record against the spread this year.
• Duke covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 51.7% of the time. That's more often than Virginia covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (never covered this season).
• Against the spread, the Blue Devils have fared worse when playing at home, covering six times in 15 home games, and eight times in 11 road games.
• The Cavaliers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
• Duke's record against the spread in conference play is 11-9-0.
• Against the spread in ACC play, Virginia is 10-10-0 this season.

Duke vs. Virginia: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been the moneyline favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 24 times (92.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Blue Devils have come away with a win 22 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -285 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Virginia has won three of the four games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (75%).
• The Cavaliers have played as a moneyline underdog of +230 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Duke has an implied victory probability of 74% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Duke vs. Virginia Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Duke was 11th-best in college basketball on offense (83.2 points scored per game) and seventh-best on defense (62.8 points allowed).
• On the boards, Duke was 24th-best in the country in rebounds (35.6 per game) last season. It was 12th-best in rebounds allowed (27.3 per game).
• Duke was 17th-best in the nation in assists (16.9 per game) last year.
• Last year, Duke was ninth-best in college basketball in turnovers committed (8.9 per game) and ranked 265th in turnovers forced (10.4).
• While Virginia ranked in the bottom 25 in the nation in points per game last year with 64.8 (fifth-worst), it ranked 39th in college basketball with 66.8 points allowed per contest.
• Virginia struggled to accumulate rebounds last season, ranking worst in college basketball with 26.8 rebounds per game. It ranked 104th by allowing 30.1 rebounds per contest.
• Virginia ranked 93rd in the nation with 14.7 assists per contest.
• Although Virginia forced 9.2 turnovers per game (19th-worst in college basketball), it ranked 25th-best in college basketball by committing only 9.3 turnovers per contest.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!