3M Open Daily Fantasy Golf Picks: Matsuyama, Finau Primed for Success at TPC Twin Cities

Only two weeks remain for the PGA Tour's regular season before the FedExCup Playoffs begin.

Which golfers are set up for success at TPC Twin Cities for this week's 3M Open?

3M Open DFS Picks

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel daily fantasy golf salary based on my stats model, which accounts for the most important stats for this week's event. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds. References to my combo model refer to a combination of long-term, field-adjusted form, key stat performance, and hole-by-hole-level strokes gained data.

3M Open Studs

Tony Finau ($12,000 | +1200)

Finau has a win at this event already, and he has the best overall form at TPC Twin Cities of anyone in the field. The irons are still there, as he leads the field in strokes gained: approach over the past 50 rounds, but the putting has cooled off noticeably.

Hideki Matsuyama ($11,600 | +1800)

Matsuyama finished T13 at The Open to give him four top-32 finishes at all four Majors, and this was the only one during which he gained strokes from putting. Matsuyama's putter has been close to the PGA average from within 15 feet, and that's a key stat for identifying regression.

Others to Consider:

• Gary Woodland ($10,800 | +3500) - Field leader in strokes gained: ball-striking.
• Ludvig Aberg ($10,500 | +3300) - Elite driver; rest of stats need some work still.
• Stephan Jaeger ($10,100 | +4000) - Strong T2G game (7th in the field).

3M Open Mid-Range Plays

Aaron Rai ($9,700 | +5500)

While Rai's tee-to-green game is top-five among this field, he's a mid-range salary play because of the putting bogging him down. He ranks 103rd over the past 50 rounds there. His putting puts him in the 25th percentile from within 15 feet, so he's not great right now, but it could be much worse.

Ryan Fox ($9,400 | +5000)

Fox fits the mold of recent winners here: he's long off the tee (20th) and a good all-around player (33rd or better in all four strokes gained stats, including ranking 19th in strokes gained: approach).

Others to Consider:

• Eric Cole ($9,700 | +5000) - Top-20 T2G player and 16th in putting.
• Austin Eckroat ($9,300 | +5000) - 23rd T2G in the field; T16 here in 2021.
• Lee Hodges ($9,100 | +8000) - Good ball-striker; T16 here in 2022.

3M Open Value Plays

Chez Reavie ($8,700 | +11000)

Over the past 50 rounds, Reavie is 4th in approach and 13th in putting, the two stats that have the highest single-week volatility. That makes him a threat for a spike week every time he tees it up. He has played here twice, making the cut both times -- finishing T11 in 2021 and T49 in 2022 while losing strokes with the putter in each start.

Ben Griffin ($8,400 | +11000)

My win simulation model likes Griffin a good bit, yet his salary puts him in the low $8,000 range. He has gained strokes from his approach play in eight straight measured events, including at The Open, where he missed the cut. Missed cuts are pretty common for him, which is why the salary is down, but the building blocks are there for a good ceiling this week.

Others to Consider:

• Doug Ghim ($8,900 | +8000) - Pretty short win odds; two top-20s here; good T2G game.
• Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,800 | +11000) - Hitting irons well in past two events; great short game.
• Ryan Palmer ($8,500 | +10000) - Top-14 in both ball-striking stats; short game is the concern; T31 here last year.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.