Yankees vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.

The New York Yankees will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Saturday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this matchup.

Yankees vs Mets Game Info

• New York Yankees (48-40) vs. New York Mets (51-38)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and YES

Yankees vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-148) | NYM: (+126)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+108) | NYM: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Yankees vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 9-5, 2.95 ERA vs Frankie Montás (Mets) - 0-1, 6.00 ERA

The Yankees will give the ball to Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.95 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 10 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Frankie Montas (0-1, 6.00 ERA). Rodon and his team have a record of 5-13-0 against the spread when he starts. Rodon's team is 9-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Montas has started two games with set spreads, and the Mets failed to cover in both opportunities. The Mets were the moneyline underdog for one Montas start this season -- they lost.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (57.9%)

Yankees vs Mets Moneyline

• The Yankees vs Mets moneyline has the Yankees as a -148 favorite, while the Mets are a +126 underdog at home.

Yankees vs Mets Spread

• The Yankees are 1.5-run favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Yankees are +108 to cover, while the Mets are -130 to cover.

Yankees vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for the Yankees versus Mets contest on July 5 has been set at 9, with -105 odds on the over and -115 odds on the under.

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Yankees vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Yankees have come away with 45 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This year, the Yankees have won 32 of 51 games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 87 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 38-49-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
• The Mets have won 10 of the 25 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (40%).
• The Mets have a record of 2-4 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer (33.3%).
• The Mets have played in 85 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-46-2).
• The Mets have covered 50.6% of their games this season, going 43-42-0 ATS.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York with 118 hits and an OBP of .474, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .740. He's batting .365.
• Among qualifying batters in MLB, he is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is batting .571 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and four RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .269 with 15 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks. He's slugging .463 with an on-base percentage of .327.
• He is 60th in batting average, 79th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging among qualifying batters.
• Bellinger heads into this game looking to extend his 10-game hit streak. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .356 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .282 with a .425 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
• Trent Grisham has been key for New York with 62 hits, an OBP of .352 plus a slugging percentage of .476.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has put up a team-best .399 on-base percentage. He's batting .266 and slugging .516.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 66th, his on-base percentage ranks third, and he is 18th in slugging.
• Soto takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Pete Alonso's 96 hits and .530 slugging percentage are both team-highs. He has a batting average of .287 with an on-base percentage of .379.
• Including all qualifying players, he ranks 28th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 29 walks while batting .258.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .254 with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks.

Yankees vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 5/18/2025: 8-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 5/17/2025: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 5/16/2025: 6-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/24/2024: 12-3 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 7/23/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 6/26/2024: 12-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 6/25/2024: 9-7 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 7/26/2023: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/25/2023: 9-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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