Yankees vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 3:11 p.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the New York Yankees play the New York Mets.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Yankees vs Mets Game Info

• New York Yankees (48-40) vs. New York Mets (51-38)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and YES

Yankees vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-142) | NYM: (+120)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+116) | NYM: +1.5 (-140)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Yankees vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 9-5, 2.95 ERA vs Frankie Montás (Mets) - 0-1, 6.00 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Carlos Rodon (9-5) to the mound, while Frankie Montas (0-1) will get the nod for the Mets. When Rodon starts, his team is 5-13-0 against the spread this season. Rodon's team has a record of 9-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. Montas has started two games with set spreads, and the Mets failed to cover in both chances. The Mets were the moneyline underdog for one Montas start this season -- they lost.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (57.6%)

Yankees vs Mets Moneyline

• The Yankees vs Mets moneyline has the Yankees as a -142 favorite, while the Mets are a +120 underdog at home.

Yankees vs Mets Spread

• The Yankees are 1.5-run favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Yankees are +116 to cover, while the Mets are -140 to cover.

Yankees vs Mets Over/Under

• A total of 9 runs has been set for the Yankees-Mets game on July 5, with the over available at -115 and the under at -105.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Yankees have come away with 45 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This year, the Yankees have won 36 of 58 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 87 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 38-49-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
• The Mets have won 10 of the 25 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (40%).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Mets have a record of 2-5 (28.6%).
• The Mets have combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 37 times this season for a 37-46-2 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have a 43-42-0 record ATS this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York with 118 hits and an OBP of .474, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .740. He's batting .365.
• Among the qualified batters in MLB, his batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Judge has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .571 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and four RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .269 with 15 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks, while slugging .463 with an on-base percentage of .327.
• Among qualified batters, he is 60th in batting average, 79th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging percentage.
• Bellinger takes a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .356 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt has 87 hits this season and has a slash line of .282/.343/.425.
• Trent Grisham has 16 home runs, 33 RBI and a batting average of .248 this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto a has .399 on-base percentage to lead the Mets. He's batting .266 while slugging .516.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he ranks 66th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging percentage.
• Soto hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Pete Alonso leads his team with 96 hits and has a club-high .530 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .287 with an on-base percentage of .379.
• He ranks 28th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage in the majors.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .258 with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .254 with 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks.

Yankees vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 5/18/2025: 8-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 5/17/2025: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 5/16/2025: 6-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/24/2024: 12-3 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 7/23/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 6/26/2024: 12-2 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 6/25/2024: 9-7 NYM (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 7/26/2023: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 7/25/2023: 9-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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