Yankees vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 16

Odds updated as of 6:13 p.m.
The New York Yankees are among the MLB squads in action on Friday, versus the New York Mets.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Yankees vs Mets Game Info
- New York Yankees (25-18) vs. New York Mets (28-16)
- Date: Friday, May 16, 2025
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
- Coverage: YES and WPIX
Yankees vs Mets Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-146) | NYM: (+124)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+138) | NYM: +1.5 (-166)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Yankees vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 4-3, 3.29 ERA vs Tylor Megill (Mets) - 3-3, 3.10 ERA
The probable starters are Carlos Rodon (4-3) for the Yankees and Tylor Megill (3-3) for the Mets. Rodon and his team are 3-6-0 ATS this season when he starts. Rodon's team has won 44.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-5). The Mets are 2-6-0 ATS in Megill's eight starts that had a set spread. The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for one Megill start this season -- they won.
Yankees vs Mets Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (51.4%)
Yankees vs Mets Moneyline
- The Yankees vs Mets moneyline has the Yankees as a -146 favorite, while the Mets are a +124 underdog on the road.
Yankees vs Mets Spread
- The Yankees are 1.5-run favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Yankees are +138 to cover, while the Mets are -166 to cover.
Yankees vs Mets Over/Under
- Yankees versus Mets, on May 16, has an over/under of 9, with the over being -110 and the under -110.
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Yankees vs Mets Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been victorious in 23, or 63.9%, of the 36 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This year, the Yankees have won 16 of 23 games when listed as at least -146 or better on the moneyline.
- The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 42 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees are 20-22-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Mets have won five of the 10 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%).
- The Mets have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- The Mets have played in 43 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-25-2).
- The Mets have a 21-22-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.8% of the time).
Yankees Player Leaders
- Aaron Judge has 68 hits and an OBP of .497 to go with a slugging percentage of .782. All three of those stats lead New York hitters this season. He has a .412 batting average, as well.
- Among all qualifying batters, he is first in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
- Judge hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .350 with four doubles, four home runs, six walks and eight RBIs.
- Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .346 with 11 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks. He's slugging .506 with an on-base percentage of .395.
- His batting average ranks fourth among qualified players, his on-base percentage 11th, and his slugging percentage 26th.
- Trent Grisham is batting .283 with a .628 slugging percentage and 22 RBI this year.
- Ben Rice has been key for New York with 34 hits, an OBP of .355 plus a slugging percentage of .545.
Mets Player Leaders
- Pete Alonso has an on-base percentage of .421 and has 50 hits, both team-high numbers for the Mets. He's batting .311 and slugging .584.
- Including all qualified hitters, he is 16th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is fourth and he is seventh in slugging.
- Juan Soto is batting .255 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks. He's slugging .465 with an on-base percentage of .380.
- He is currently 83rd in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
- Francisco Lindor has a .491 slugging percentage, which paces the Mets.
- Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks.
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