Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 17

Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Info
- Date: Monday, March 17, 2025
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
- Coverage: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and ALT
The Golden State Warriors (39-28) will attempt to extend a seven-game win streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (43-25) on Monday, March 17, 2025 at Chase Center as heavy, 11.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN, NBCS-BA, and ALT. The matchup's point total is set at 233.
Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | -11.5 | 233 | -621 | +460 |
Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:
Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
- The Warriors have covered the spread in a matchup 34 times this season (34-31-2).
- The Nuggets have played 68 games, with 32 wins against the spread.
- Games involving the Warriors have hit the over 34 times out of 68 chances this season.
- Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 58.8% of the time (40 out of 68 games with a set point total).
- Golden State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 16 times in 34 games at home, and it has covered 18 times in 33 games when playing on the road.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Warriors hit the over more consistently in home games, as they've eclipsed the total 18 times in 34 opportunities this season (52.9%). In road games, they have hit the over 16 times in 33 opportunities (48.5%).
- Denver's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .471. It is 16-18-0 ATS on its home court and 16-17-1 on the road.
- Nuggets games have gone above the over/under 64.7% of the time at home (22 of 34), and 52.9% of the time on the road (18 of 34).
Warriors Leaders
- Stephen Curry averages 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.1 assists, shooting 44.7% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 4.4 made 3-pointers per contest (first in league).
- Draymond Green is averaging 9.2 points, 6.1 boards and 5.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 1 block.
- Jimmy Butler averages 16.8 points, 5.4 boards and 5.2 assists.
- Buddy Hield is averaging 11.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.9 boards and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 42.7% from the floor and 31.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.4 made 3-pointers.
Nuggets Leaders
- Nikola Jokic averages 29.1 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.8 rebounds and 10.3 assists.
- Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. He is draining 47.4% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.4 triples.
- Per game, Michael Porter Jr. gives the Nuggets 18.3 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks.
- The Nuggets get 15.2 points per game from Christian Braun, plus 5 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
- Russell Westbrook averages 13.1 points, 5 boards and 6.1 assists. He is making 46.5% of his shots from the field and 34.6% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.
Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!
Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, and Chandler Parsons Monday-Thursday at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.