Twins vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 28

Odds updated as of 7:11 p.m.

The MLB's Monday slate includes the Minnesota Twins facing the Boston Red Sox.

All the information you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Twins vs Red Sox Game Info

• Minnesota Twins (50-55) vs. Boston Red Sox (57-50)
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: MNNT and NESN

Twins vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIN: (-110) | BOS: (-106)
• Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-192) | BOS: -1.5 (+158)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Twins vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Simeon Woods Richardson (Twins) - 5-4, 4.14 ERA vs Richard Fitts (Red Sox) - 1-4, 4.86 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Simeon Woods Richardson (5-4) to the mound, while Richard Fitts (1-4) will answer the bell for the Red Sox. When Woods Richardson starts, his team is 7-7-0 against the spread this season. Woods Richardson's team has won 55.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-4). The Red Sox have gone 2-6-0 against the spread when Fitts starts. The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for four Fitts starts this season -- they lost every game.

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (56.4%)

Twins vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Minnesota is the favorite, -110 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -106 underdog on the road.

Twins vs Red Sox Spread

• The Red Sox are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Red Sox are +158 to cover, while the Twins are -192 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Twins vs Red Sox Over/Under

• A total of 9 runs has been set for the Twins-Red Sox contest on July 28, with the over available at -122 and the under at -100.

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Twins vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Twins have come away with 34 wins in the 66 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Minnesota has been victorious 34 times in 66 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The Twins' games have gone over the total in 41 of their 101 opportunities.
• The Twins are 50-51-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog 36 total times this season. They've gone 16-20 in those games.
• Boston is 16-20 (winning 44.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -106 or longer.
• The Red Sox have played in 106 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-54-4).
• The Red Sox have collected a 58-48-0 record against the spread this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton has 92 hits and an OBP of .343 to go with a slugging percentage of .561. All three of those stats are tops among Minnesota hitters this season. He has a .282 batting average, as well.
• Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks 28th, his on-base percentage ranks 54th, and he is seventh in slugging.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .244 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 34 walks. He's slugging .405 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Among all qualifying batters, he is 111th in batting average, 107th in on-base percentage and 95th in slugging percentage.
• Ty France has 87 hits this season and has a slash line of .254/.323/.363.
• Carlos Correa has seven home runs, 31 RBI and a batting average of .266 this season.
• Correa heads into this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double and three walks.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has accumulated a team-best OBP (.326) and slugging percentage (.440). He's batting .259.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 78th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage.
• Duran takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two triples, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela's 93 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .265 while slugging .456 with an on-base percentage of .306.
• His batting average is 66th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 121st, and he is 58th in slugging.
• Wilyer Abreu has 11 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .243.
• Trevor Story is batting .248 with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks.

Twins vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 5/4/2025: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/3/2025: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/2/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/22/2024: 9-3 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/22/2024: 8-1 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 9/20/2024: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 5/5/2024: 9-2 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 5/4/2024: 3-1 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 5/3/2024: 5-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 6/22/2023: 6-0 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)

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