Padres vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 28

Odds updated as of 10:11 a.m.

On Monday in MLB, the San Diego Padres are playing the New York Mets.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Padres vs Mets Game Info

• San Diego Padres (57-49) vs. New York Mets (62-44)
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Padres vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-124) | NYM: (+106)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+164) | NYM: +1.5 (-200)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Padres vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Cease (Padres) - 3-10, 4.59 ERA vs Frankie Montás (Mets) - 3-1, 4.62 ERA

The Padres will give the ball to Dylan Cease (3-10, 4.59 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Frankie Montas (3-1, 4.62 ERA). When Cease starts, his team is 9-12-0 against the spread this season. Cease's team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-6. When Montas starts, the Mets are 2-3-0 against the spread. The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Montas starts this season -- they split the games.

Padres vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (57.9%)

Padres vs Mets Moneyline

• New York is a +106 underdog on the moneyline, while San Diego is a -124 favorite at home.

Padres vs Mets Spread

• The Padres are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Padres are +164 to cover, and the Mets are -200.

Padres vs Mets Over/Under

• An over/under of 8 has been set for Padres-Mets on July 28, with the over being -112 and the under -108.

Bet on San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Padres vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Padres have been favorites in 51 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (58.8%) in those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 27-18 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Padres have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 104 chances this season.
• The Padres are 57-47-0 against the spread in their 104 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets have compiled a 12-16 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.9% of those games).
• New York is 7-10 (winning 41.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer.
• In the 101 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-53-4).
• The Mets have covered 49.5% of their games this season, going 50-51-0 against the spread.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 122 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .506, both of which rank first among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .300 batting average and an on-base percentage of .360.
• Among qualified batters, he is seventh in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is 18th in slugging.
• Machado has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .619 with four doubles, a home run and six RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has 106 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .365. He's batting .268 and slugging .451.
• Among all qualifying players, he is 56th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 63rd in slugging percentage.
• Luis Arraez has 118 hits this season and has a slash line of .291/.325/.397.
• Arraez has picked up a hit in 10 games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .390 with three doubles, two walks and four RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts has seven home runs, 36 RBI and a batting average of .265 this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has put up an on-base percentage of .387, a team-best for the Mets. He's batting .252 and slugging .496.
• Including all qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average puts him 93rd, his on-base percentage is fifth, and he is 22nd in slugging.
• Pete Alonso has racked up 105 hits while slugging .504. Both lead his team. He has a batting average of .266 with an on-base percentage of .357.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 62nd, his on-base percentage ranks 36th, and he is 20th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor has a slugging percentage of .436, a team-high for the Mets.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .261 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks.

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